- Based on preseason odds, the Denver Broncos are +500 to make the postseason in 2024-25.
- Since their Super Bowl win in 2015, Denver hasn’t reached the postseason.
- Based on their difficult schedule, Denver should miss the playoffs this year.
Based on NFL odds and Broncos playoff odds, the Denver Broncos are predicted to miss the postseason this year.
Denver is currently +500 to make the playoffs for an implied probability of 16.7%.
Comparatively, the Broncos are -750 to miss out on next year’s postseason. That price implies a probability of 88.2%.
Prediction: Will the Denver Broncos Make the Playoffs?
I predict the Broncos will miss the playoffs this season.
Denver finished second in the division last year and earned the NFL’s eighth-hardest schedule as a result.
That should spell trouble for rookie quarterback Bo Nix on a team that overperformed last year. According to pro-football-reference.com, Denver finished a full win over expected.
Denver Broncos Week-by-Week Playoff Chances
| Week Number | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +500 | 16.7% |
| Week 2 | +600 | 14.3% |
| Week 3 | +1200 | 7.69% |
| Week 4 | +750 | 11.8% |
| Week 5 | +310 | 24.4% |
| Week 6 | +185 | 35.1% |
| Week 7 | +225 | 30.8% |
| Week 8 | +185 | 35.1% |
| Week 9 | +125 | 44.4% |
| Week 10 | +200 | 33.3% |
| Week 11 | +200 | 33.3% |
| Week 12 | -105 | 51.2% |
| Week 13 | -155 | 60.8% |
| Week 14 | -275 | 73.3% |
| Week 15 | -270 | 73% |
| Week 16 | -1200 | 92.3% |
AFC West Odds to Make the Playoffs, Preseason
| Team | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | -650 | 86.7% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | -110 | 52.4% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +300 | 25% |
| Denver Broncos | +500 | 16.7% |
When Was the Last Time the Denver Broncos Won the Super Bowl?
The Broncos last won the Super Bowl in 2016 behind Peyton Manning. That marked their first Super Bowl win since 1999.
This season, only one team has a longer price than Denver in the Super Bowl Odds.
Denver Broncos Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds
| Week Number | Odds to Win Super Bowl | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +15000 | 0.66% |
| Week 2 | +25000 | 0.40% |
| Week 3 | +30000 | 0.33% |
| Week 4 | +30000 | 0.33% |
| Week 5 | +20000 | 0.50% |
| Week 6 | +10000 | 0.99% |
| Week 7 | +15000 | 0.66% |
| Week 8 | +8000 | 1.23% |
| Week 9 | +8000 | 1.23% |
| Week 10 | +15000 | 0.66% |
| Week 11 | +15000 | 0.66% |
| Week 12 | +6600 | 1.49% |
| Week 13 | +5000 | 1.96% |
| Week 14 | +5000 | 1.96% |
| Week 15 | +5000 | 1.96% |
| Week 16 | +4000 | 2.44% |
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