- The Denver Broncos are -105 to make the postseason in 2025-26.
- Denver made the postseason in 2024 for the first time since 2015.
- I predict the Broncos reach the playoffs for the second straight year in 2025.
Based on NFL odds and Broncos playoff odds, the Denver Broncos are predicted to miss the postseason this year.
After finishing as the seventh seed in the AFC last season, Denver is -105 to make the playoffs for a second straight year.
Comparatively, the Broncos are -120 to miss the playoffs this season.
Prediction: Will the Denver Broncos Make the Playoffs?
Based on the continued success of Denver’s defense and Bo Nix’s likely improvement, I predict the Broncos Make the Playoffs (-105).
Denver built its 2024 success on a strong defensive record. The Broncos ranked fourth in defensive DVOA, a 26-spot improvement from the 2023 season.
While a team’s defensive record usually proves far more fluid year over year, a case exists where the Broncos defense improves.
Last season, the Broncos played the 20th-hardest set of opposing offenses, per ftnfantasy.com. Based on 2024 offensive DVOA ratings, the Broncos play the 23rd-hardest set this season.
Offensively, Denver sneakily added tight end Evan Engram to help unlock further success by Nix.
Last season, Nix ranked fourth in EPA per play + completion percentage over expected from Week 11 onward.
Overall, the schedule trends on the easier side. Based on win totals, Denver plays the 14th-easiest schedule in the league, the easiest schedule in the division.
That should offer Denver the chance to experience some positive regression based on its 2024 performance.
Six of Denver’s season losses – including all three within the division – came by seven or fewer points.
What gives me the most confidence in Denver is the success of strong defenses reaching the playoffs. Last season, nine of the league’s 10 best defenses by DVOA earned a playoff spot.
Barring a complete collapse from that unit, Denver likely remains a top-10 defense, especially after adding Dre Greenlaw and Talanoa Hufanga.
As a result, I like backing the small price on the Broncos to repeat its postseason success in 2025.
Denver Broncos Week-by-Week Playoff Chances
| Week Number | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | -105 | 51.2% |
When Was the Last Time the Denver Broncos Won the Super Bowl?
The Broncos last won the Super Bowl in 2016 behind Peyton Manning. That marked their first Super Bowl win since 1999.
Year over year, Denver jumped from +15000 to +4000 in the Super Bowl odds.
Denver Broncos Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds
| Week Number | Odds to Win Super Bowl | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +4000 | 2.44% |
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