- Based on preseason odds, the Detroit Lions are -275 to make the postseason in 2024-25.
- Detroit reached the NFC Championship game last season, but finished two wins over expected.
- Based on defensive improvements, I predict Detroit will reach the postseason.
Based on NFL odds and Lions playoff odds, the Detroit Lions are predicted to make the postseason this year.
The Lions are -275 to make the playoffs after winning the NFC North last season. That implies a probability of 73.3%.
Comparatively, the Lions are +220 to miss the postseason. That price implies a probability of 31.3%.
Prediction: Will the Detroit Lions Make the Playoffs?
I predict the Lions will make the postseason this year.
Even though Detroit finished a 10-7 team last year based on expected record, they’ve addressed their biggest weakness: the pass defense.
Carlton Davis arrives from Tampa Bay, while Detroit used their first two draft picks on cornerbacks. D.J. Reader also arrives from Cincinnati to join a team first in rush defense DVOA.
Pair that with one of the league’s best offenses, and I’ll be surprised if the Lions fall out of the postseason.
Detroit Lions Week-by-Week Playoff Chances
| Week Number | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | -275 | 73.3% |
| Week 2 | -375 | 78.9% |
| Week 3 | -210 | 67.7% |
| Week 4 | -200 | 66.7% |
| Week 5 | -300 | 75% |
| Week 6 | -300 | 75% |
| Week 7 | -350 | 77.8% |
| Week 8 | -1000 | 90.9% |
| Week 9 | -1600 | 94.1% |
| Week 10 | -10000 | 99% |
| Week 11 | Off the Board | 100% |
| Week 12 | Off the Board | 100% |
| Week 13 | Off the Board | 100% |
| Week 14 | Off the Board | 100% |
NFC North Odds to Make the Playoffs, Preseason
| Team | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Lions | -275 | 73.3% |
| Green Bay Packers | -185 | 64.9% |
| Chicago Bears | -110 | 52.4% |
| Minnesota Vikings | +240 | 29.4% |
When Was the Last Time the Detroit Lions Won the Super Bowl?
The Lions are the only team in the NFC to have never reached the Super Bowl. In fact, the 2023-24 season marked the first time they captured a playoff win since 1991.
However, the Lions are among the favorites in this year’s Super Bowl Odds and among my Super Bowl Predictions.
Detroit Lions Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds
| Week Number | Odds to Win Super Bowl | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +1200 | 7.7% |
| Week 2 | +1000 | 9.1% |
| Week 3 | +1200 | 7.7% |
| Week 4 | +1200 | 7.7% |
| Week 5 | +1000 | 9.1% |
| Week 6 | +1000 | 9.1% |
| Week 7 | +1000 | 9.1% |
| Week 8 | +750 | 11.8% |
| Week 9 | +650 | 13.3% |
| Week 10 | +500 | 16.7% |
| Week 11 | +450 | 18.2% |
| Week 12 | +325 | 23.5% |
| Week 13 | +275 | 26.7% |
| Week 14 | +275 | 26.7% |
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