Eagles vs Commanders Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 25, 2022, 10:43 AM
  • The Eagles (2-0) are -6.5 point favorites vs the Commanders (1-1)
  • Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) visit FedExField to take on the Washington Commanders (1-1) on Sep. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Landover.

The Eagles are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Eagles vs. Commanders Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Commanders vs Eagles & all NFL games with BetMGM

Eagles vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 3

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Philadelphia Eagles-6.5 -11047.5 -110-275
Washington Commanders +6.5 -11047.5 -110+220

Eagles vs. Commanders Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this Week 3 game with 65.8% confidence.

Eagles vs Commanders Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread this Week 3 with 52.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Eagles and Commanders, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zach Pascal has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Zach Pascal has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.15 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Dallas Goedert has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • DeVonta Smith has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 10 away games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Miles Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Best Commanders Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Terry McLaurin has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Taylor Heinicke has hit the TD Passes Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Taylor Heinicke has hit the Interceptions Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Terry McLaurin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Taylor Heinicke has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Commanders vs Eagles

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Jalen Hurts +650
    Miles Sanders +700
    AJ Brown +750
    Antonio Gibson +900
    Devonta Smith +1000

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Commanders vs Eagles

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Jalen Hurts -115
    Miles Sanders +100
    AJ Brown +105
    Antonio Gibson +130
    Devonta Smith +145

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Commanders vs Eagles

    Player Name Over Under
    Terry McLaurin 58.5 -115 58.5 -115
    Logan Thomas 31.5 -115 31.5 -115
    Dallas Goedert 47.5 -115 47.5 -110
    DeVonta Smith 44.5 -115 44.5 -115
    Curtis Samuel 45.5 -115 45.5 -115

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Commanders vs Eagles

    Player Name Over Under
    Miles Sanders 63.5 -115 63.5 -115
    Jalen Hurts 53.5 -110 53.5 -115
    Antonio Gibson 52.5 -110 52.5 -115
    Carson Wentz 12.5 -120 12.5 -110
    Boston Scott 15.5 -110 15.5 -120
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have scored last in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+6.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have covered the 4Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+5.85 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles have gone 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.76% ROI).

    • Eagles are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 50.63% ROI
    • Eagles are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
    • Eagles are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI

    Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders have gone 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

    • Commanders are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -3.77% ROI
    • Commanders are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
    • Commanders are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

    Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders

    The Eagles are 3-2 (.600) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2021 season — 10th-best in NFL. The Commanders have allowed 253.7 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst in NFL.

    The Eagles are winless (0-5) when allowing 250 or more passing yards since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .450.

    The Eagles were winless (0-5) when allowing 250 or more passing yards last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .455.

    The Eagles were winless (0-6) vs top 10 pass offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .365.

    Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

    The Commanders were 2-6 (.250) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .638.

    The Commanders were undefeated (4-0) when scoring 27 or more points last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .802.

    The Commanders were 1-8 (.111) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.

    The Commanders were winless (0-2) when rushing less than 20 times last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .121.

    Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders

    The Commanders have gone three and out on 38.5% of their drives in the first half this season — fifth-worst in NFL. Eagles have forced three and outs on 50% of opponent drives in the first half this season — best in NFL.

    The Commanders have gone three and out on 0% of their drives in the second half this season — tied for best in NFL. Eagles have forced three and outs on 0% of opponent drives in the second half this season — tied for worst in NFL.

    The Commanders have a third down conversion rate of 66.7% in the second half this season — second-best in NFL. The Eagles defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 69.2% in the second half this season — second-worst in NFL.

    The Eagles have rushed the ball on 51.4% of plays from scrimmage this season — fourth-highest in NFL. The Commanders have allowed 7.9 yards per carry this season — worst in NFL.

    Eagles RBs have averaged 116.0 rushing yards per game this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Commanders have allowed an average of 158.0 rushing yards per game this season — fifth-worst in NFL.

    The Eagles have a third down conversion rate of 47.4% since the 2021 season — third-best in NFL. The Commanders defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 47.4% since the 2021 season — third-worst in NFL.

    Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Eagles have run successful plays on 69% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    The Eagles have rushed for 6 TDs this season — most in NFL.

    The Eagles started 8 drives inside their own 20 yard line in Week 2 — most in NFL.

    The Eagles ran no plays in their opponent’s territory in the 4th quarter in Week 2 — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

    Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Commanders have run successful plays on 9% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Commanders have run successful plays on 12% of rush attempts in the 1st half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Commanders ran successful plays on 11% of plays in the 1st half in Week 2 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Commanders have an average drive start position from the 19.4 yard line in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 25.5.

    Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

    Offenses facing the Eagles targeted WRs 49% of the time (287 Pass Attempts/589 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

    The Eagles defense has allowed a passer rating of just 18.7 when blitzing (21 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 99.6.

    The Eagles defense did not allow a successful play on any play in the 1st quarter in Week 2 — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

    Offenses facing the Eagles targeted WRs 50% of the time (335 Pass Attempts/672 plays) since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

    Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Commanders defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 50% last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

    The Commanders defense allowed a passer rating of 98.8 when they pressured the QB (111 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 58.2.

    The Commanders defense has allowed 20+ yard rushes 4 times this season — most in NFL.

    The Commanders defense has allowed 6.2 yards per dropback (786 yards/127 attempts) on passes when they have pressured the QB since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 2.6.

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.