Eagles vs Texans Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 9, TNF

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 03, 2022, 5:30 PM
  • The Eagles (7-0) are -13.5 point favorites vs the Texans (1-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 45 points
  • Watch the game on Amazon Prime Video

The Philadelphia Eagles (7-0) visit NRG Stadium to take on the Houston Texans (1-5) on Nov. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Houston for Thursday Night Football.

The Eagles are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Eagles vs. Texans Over/Under is 45 total points for the game.

Bet now on Texans vs Eagles & all NFL games with BetMGM

Eagles vs. Texans Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 9

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Eagles-13.5 -11045 -110-750
Texans +13.5 -11045 -110+525

Eagles vs. Texans Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this Week 9 game with 82.0% confidence.

Eagles vs Texans Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread this Week 9 with 59.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Eagles and Texans, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zach Pascal has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.55 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Zach Pascal has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 53% ROI)
  • A.J. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Dallas Goedert has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+3.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Miles Sanders has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.10 Units / 24% ROI)

Best Texans Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Texans players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nico Collins has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.05 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Dameon Pierce has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games (+5.85 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Davis Mills has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+5.45 Units / 109% ROI)
  • Rex Burkhead has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Davis Mills has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.40 Units / 37% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Texans vs Eagles

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Jalen Hurts +550
AJ Brown +550
Miles Sanders +650
Devonta Smith +800
Dallas Goedert +900

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Texans vs Eagles

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Jalen Hurts -120
AJ Brown -110
Miles Sanders +105
Dameon Pierce +138
Devonta Smith +145

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Texans vs Eagles

Player Name Over Under
DeVonta Smith 52.5 -115 52.5 -115
A.J. Brown 68.5 -120 68.5 -110

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Texans vs Eagles

Player Name Over Under
Dameon Pierce 61.5 -115 61.5 -115
Miles Sanders 76.5 -115 76.5 -115
Jalen Hurts 40.5 -110 40.5 -120
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 1H Spread in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+7.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Houston Texans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 69% ROI)

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles have gone 5-2 (+2.8 Units / 36.6% ROI).

  • Eagles are 7-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 36.18% ROI
  • Eagles are 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Eagles are 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / ROI

Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans have gone 3-3 (-0.3 Units / -3.85% ROI).

  • Texans are 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -34.29% ROI
  • Texans are 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.45 Units / -18.71% ROI
  • Texans are 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.15% ROI

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans

The Eagles are undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .427.

The Eagles are undefeated (6-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .514.

The Eagles are undefeated (4-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .560.

The Eagles were winless (0-6) vs top 10 offenses last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.

Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Texans are 1-16-1 (.056) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Texans are 4-17-1 (.182) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .484.

The Texans are 1-5-1 (.143) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.

The Texans are 2-10 (.167) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .448.

Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Houston Texans

The Texans have scored on 10% of their drives in the first quarter this season — tied for second-worst in NFL. The Eagles defense has allowed scores on 17.6% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — tied for third-best in NFL.

The Texans have run successful plays on just 30.7% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field this season — second-worst in NFL. Eagles have allowed successful plays on just 42.0% of pass attempts on their own side of the field this season — third-best in NFL.

The Texans have run just 38.0% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field this season — tied for second-worst in NFL. Eagles have allowed their opponents to run just 38.6% of plays in their territory this season — second-best in NFL.

The Eagles have run successful plays on 50.6% of rush attempts this season — fourth-best in NFL. Texans have allowed successful plays on 50.9% of rush attempts this season — second-worst in NFL.

Eagles RBs have 8 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for most in NFL. The Texans have allowed 10 rushing TDs this season — tied for fifth-most in NFL.

Eagles RBs have 8 rushing touchdowns this season — fourth-most in NFL. The Texans have allowed 10 rushing TDs this season — tied for fifth-most in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Eagles ran the ball on 50% of plays (540 carries/1,077 plays) last season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Eagles have run the ball on 47% of plays (46 carries/99 plays) on 3rd down this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Eagles have thrown the ball 21% of the time (15 Pass Attempts/70 plays) in close and late situations this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Eagles have thrown the ball 46% of the time (709 Pass Attempts/1,554 plays) since the 2021 season — 3rd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Texans ran successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 1st half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Texans have converted first downs on just 43 of 210 plays (20%) in close and late situations since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Texans have converted first downs on just 90 of 393 plays (23%) in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Texans ran successful plays on 32% of rush attempts last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Eagles defense has allowed a passer rating of just 16.1 on 3rd and long (28 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 79.8.

Offenses facing the Eagles targeted WRs 49% of the time (287 Pass Attempts/589 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.

The Eagles defense has allowed successful plays on 59% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Eagles defense has allowed a passer rating of just 67.6 (269 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 89.5.

Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats for Week 9

The Texans defense has allowed an average of 29.0 fantasy points per game as a unit to RBs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17.9.

The Texans defense has allowed 188.1 rushing yards per game (1,317/7) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 121.3.

The Texans defense allowed successful plays on 91% of rush attempts in the 2nd half in Week 7 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Texans defense has allowed 195.3 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 129.5.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.