- Based on preseason odds, the Houston Texans are -200 to make the postseason in 2024-25.
- Houston went from worst to first in the AFC South last year, reaching the divisional round of the postseason.
- I predict the Texans will make the postseason in 2024.
Based on NFL odds and Texans playoff odds, the Houston Texans are predicted to make the postseason this year.
Houston, which has captured two straight AFC South titles, is -140 to make the playoffs.
Comparatively, Houston is +110 to miss the postseason next year.
Prediction: Will the Houston Texans Make the Playoffs?
Based on Houston’s expected defensive regression in 2025, I predict the Texans Miss the Playoffs (+100).
The price offers an initial indicator that Houston could regress in 2025.
Last season, the Texans built its success off a strong defense carrying a weak offense. Per ftnfantasy.com, Houston finished 26th in offensive DVOA and third in defensive DVOA.
I’m always skeptical of backing teams that excel defensively the following season. Generally, that unit is far more fluid than a team’s offensive record.
Plus, the Texans defense takes a major step forward in competition next season.
Last season, DeMeco Ryans guided the defense to that rating against the 22nd-hardest set of opposing offenses.
Based on Houston’s opponents’ 2024 offensive DVOA ratings, the Texans are slated to face the league’s third-hardest set of opposing offenses.
Offensively, I question what the offense looks like after removing Bobby Slowik as offensive coordinator, along with numerous new wide receivers to incorporate into the offense.
Further, the Texans arrive at the 2025 season as a major negative regression candidate.
Last season, Houston notched 10 wins off 8.9 expected, again per ftnfantasy.com. Driving that overperformance: a 4-2 record in field-goal games and a 6-4 record in touchdown games.
Just within the division, Houston finished 5-1 SU with four wins coming by four or fewer points.
With improvements coming from Jacksonville and Tennessee, I’ll take Houston to miss the postseason in 2025.
Houston Texans Week-by-Week Playoff Chances
| Week Number | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | -140 | 58.3% |
When Was the Last Time the Houston Texans Won the Super Bowl?
Houston is one of 12 Teams that have never won the Super Bowl.
The Texans, who entered the league as an expansion franchise prior to the 2002-03 season, have yet to appear in the Super Bowl.
Here’s where the Texans stand in this year’s Super Bowl Odds.
Houston Texans Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds
| Week Number | Odds to Win Super Bowl | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +3500 | 2.78% |
Related Articles
NFL Betting Odds at BetMGM
BetMGM is the premier destination for NFL betting odds throughout the season.
Whether you’re a new bettor checking out weekly spreads, a casual fan tracking live NFL betting odds, or a longtime football building moneyline parlays, and more there’s something for everyone at the best online sportsbook.
If you’re new to the online sportsbook, register today with a sportsbook welcome bonus. And check out sportsbook promos each time you log in.
