Texans Playoff Chances: Will Houston Make the Postseason?

min read
Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud (7) looks to pass during pregame warmups before an NFL wild-card playoff football game, Saturday, Jan. 13, 2024 in Houston.
(Matt Patterson/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Nov 12, 2024, 1:59 PM
  • Based on preseason odds, the Houston Texans are -200 to make the postseason in 2024-25.
  • Houston went from worst to first in the AFC South last year, reaching the divisional round of the postseason.
  • I predict the Texans will make the postseason in 2024.

Based on NFL odds and Texans playoff odds, the Houston Texans are predicted to make the postseason this year.ย 

Houston, which captured an AFC South title in Week 18 last year, is -200 to make the postseason. That price implies a probability of 67.7%.ย 

Comparatively, Houston is +165 to miss the postseason, an implied probability of 37.7%.

Prediction: Will the Houston Texans Make the Playoffs?ย 

I predict the Houston Texans will make the playoffs this season.

Although the Texans are a negative regression candidate year over year โ€” they finished 7-3 in games decided by seven or fewer points last year โ€” they dealt with so many injuries.ย 

Plus, theyโ€™ve added Stefon Diggs and Joe Mixon this offseason. That should bolster the Texans offense to pair with a stout run defense, which ranked sixth in EPA per play.ย 

Houston Texans Week-by-Week Playoff Chances

Week NumberOdds to Make PlayoffsImplied Probability
Preseason-20067.7%
Week 2-27573.3%
Week 3-55084.6%
Week 4-40080%
Week 5-60085.7%
Week 6-90090%
Week 7-120092.3%
Week 8-120092.3%
Week 9-300096.8%
Week 10-160094.1%
Week 11-200095.2%

AFC South Odds to Make the Playoffs, Preseason

TeamOdds to Make PlayoffsImplied Probability
Houston Texans-20067.7%
Jacksonville Jaguars+12045.5%
Indianapolis Colts+15539.2%
Tennessee Titans+40020%

When Was the Last Time the Houston Texans Won the Super Bowl?ย 

Houston is one of 12 Teams that have never won the Super Bowl.ย 

The Texans, who entered the league as an expansion franchise prior to the 2002-03 season, have yet to appear in the Super Bowl.ย 

Still, theyโ€™re amongst the favorites in this yearโ€™s Super Bowl Odds.ย 

Houston Texans Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds

Week NumberOdds to Win Super BowlImplied Probability
Preseason+14006.67%
Week 2+14006.67%
Week 3+11008.33%
Week 4+13007.14%
Week 5+14006.67%
Week 6+11008.33%
Week 7+11008.33%
Week 8+15006.25%
Week 9+14006.67%
Week 10+20004.76%
Week 11+22004.35%

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.