- Based on preseason odds, the Houston Texans are -200 to make the postseason in 2024-25.
- Houston went from worst to first in the AFC South last year, reaching the divisional round of the postseason.
- I predict the Texans will make the postseason in 2024.
Based on NFL odds and Texans playoff odds, the Houston Texans are predicted to make the postseason this year.
Houston, which captured an AFC South title in Week 18 last year, is -200 to make the postseason. That price implies a probability of 67.7%.
Comparatively, Houston is +165 to miss the postseason, an implied probability of 37.7%.
Prediction: Will the Houston Texans Make the Playoffs?
I predict the Houston Texans will make the playoffs this season.
Although the Texans are a negative regression candidate year over year — they finished 7-3 in games decided by seven or fewer points last year — they dealt with so many injuries.
Plus, they’ve added Stefon Diggs and Joe Mixon this offseason. That should bolster the Texans offense to pair with a stout run defense, which ranked sixth in EPA per play.
Houston Texans Week-by-Week Playoff Chances
| Week Number | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | -200 | 67.7% |
| Week 2 | -275 | 73.3% |
| Week 3 | -550 | 84.6% |
| Week 4 | -400 | 80% |
| Week 5 | -600 | 85.7% |
| Week 6 | -900 | 90% |
| Week 7 | -1200 | 92.3% |
| Week 8 | -1200 | 92.3% |
| Week 9 | -3000 | 96.8% |
| Week 10 | -1600 | 94.1% |
| Week 11 | -2000 | 95.2% |
AFC South Odds to Make the Playoffs, Preseason
| Team | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Houston Texans | -200 | 67.7% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +120 | 45.5% |
| Indianapolis Colts | +155 | 39.2% |
| Tennessee Titans | +400 | 20% |
When Was the Last Time the Houston Texans Won the Super Bowl?
Houston is one of 12 Teams that have never won the Super Bowl.
The Texans, who entered the league as an expansion franchise prior to the 2002-03 season, have yet to appear in the Super Bowl.
Still, they’re amongst the favorites in this year’s Super Bowl Odds.
Houston Texans Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds
| Week Number | Odds to Win Super Bowl | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +1400 | 6.67% |
| Week 2 | +1400 | 6.67% |
| Week 3 | +1100 | 8.33% |
| Week 4 | +1300 | 7.14% |
| Week 5 | +1400 | 6.67% |
| Week 6 | +1100 | 8.33% |
| Week 7 | +1100 | 8.33% |
| Week 8 | +1500 | 6.25% |
| Week 9 | +1400 | 6.67% |
| Week 10 | +2000 | 4.76% |
| Week 11 | +2200 | 4.35% |
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