Jaguars vs Chargers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 24, 2022, 10:42 AM
  • The Chargers (1-1) are -3.5 point favorites vs the Jaguars (1-1)
  • Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (1-1) on Sep. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Inglewood.

The Chargers are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Jaguars vs. Chargers Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.

Bet now on Chargers vs Jaguars & all NFL games with BetMGM

Jaguars vs. Chargers Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 3

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Jacksonville Jaguars+3.5 -11042.5 -110+145
Los Angeles Chargers -3.5 -11042.5 -110-175

Jaguars vs. Chargers Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this Week 3 game with 52.0% confidence.

Jaguars vs Chargers Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chargers will cover the spread this Week 3 with 62.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jaguars and Chargers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the TD Passes Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.60 Units / 58% ROI)
  • James Robinson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Zay Jones has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.95 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Best Chargers Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Justin Herbert has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Gerald Everett has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • DeAndre Carter has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Gerald Everett has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Austin Ekeler has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Chargers vs Jaguars

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Austin Ekeler +500
    James Robinson +900
    Mike Williams +900
    Keenan Allen +1000
    Gerald Everett +1100

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Chargers vs Jaguars

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Austin Ekeler -150
    James Robinson +120
    Mike Williams +150
    Christian Kirk +155
    Keenan Allen +175

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Chargers vs Jaguars

    Player Name Over Under
    Zay Jones 33.5 -110 33.5 -115
    Christian Kirk 59.5 -115 59.5 -115
    James Robinson 9.5 -105 9.5 -120
    Travis Etienne 15.5 -115 15.5 -110
    Marvin Jones Jr. 40.5 -115 40.5 -115

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Chargers vs Jaguars

    Player Name Over Under
    Trevor Lawrence 13.5 -110 13.5 -115
    Travis Etienne 25.5 -110 25.5 -115
    James Robinson 53.5 -115 53.5 -115
    Austin Ekeler 53.5 -115 53.5 -115
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+5.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.90 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.30 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.25 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2Q Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars have gone 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

    • Jaguars are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 20% ROI
    • Jaguars are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
    • Jaguars are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI

    Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers have gone 2-0 (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

    • Chargers are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
    • Chargers are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
    • Chargers are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

    Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers

    The Jaguars are 1-3 (.250) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .801.

    The Jaguars are winless (0-9) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .371.

    The Jaguars were winless (0-12) when intercepting no passes last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .341.

    The Jaguars are winless (0-12) when intercepting no passes since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .338.

    Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

    The Chargers are 7-0 (1.000) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL. The Jaguars have intercepted 11 passes since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-fewest in NFL.

    The Chargers are 3-3 (.500) when not forcing a turnover since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .262.

    The Chargers were 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs last season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .538.

    The Chargers are winless (0-6) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .313.

    Additional Matchup Notes for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Los Angeles Chargers

    The Chargers are averaging just 3.0 yards per carry this season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed just 3.7 yards per carry this season — fifth-best in NFL.

    Chargers RBs have averaged 5.4 touches per game in the red zone since the 2021 season — third-highest in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 17 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone to RBs since the 2021 season — tied for third-most in NFL.

    Chargers RBs have averaged 5.5 touches per game in the red zone since the 2020 season — tied for second-highest in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed 30 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone to RBs since the 2020 season — tied for third-most in NFL.

    Jaguars RBs have just 25.5 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — third-worst in NFL. The Chargers have averaged just 26.9 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs since the 2021 season — fourth-best in NFL.

    The Jaguars rushed the ball on 53.7% of plays from scrimmage last week — fifth-highest in NFL. The Chargers allowed 5.9 yards per carry in Week 2 — fifth-worst in NFL.

    The Jaguars have gained at least 5 yards on 46.2% of first down plays since the 2021 season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Chargers have allowed at least 5 yards on 46.2% of first down plays since the 2021 season — second-worst in NFL.

    Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Jaguars had an average drive start position from the 23.5 yard line last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 26.5.

    The Jaguars have run successful plays on 18% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

    The Jaguars have thrown the ball 14% of the time (1 Pass Attempts/7 plays) on second and 4-7 yards to go this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

    The Jaguars scored on 26% of their drives last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.

    Los Angeles Chargers Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Chargers averaged 121.6 yards from scrimmage per game (2,067 yards / 17 games) in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 94.8.

    The Chargers had a third down conversion rate of 35% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

    The Chargers converted first downs on 114 of 333 plays (34%) in the 4th quarter last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

    The Chargers have a third down conversion rate of 32% on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2020 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

    Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Jaguars defense has not allowed a successful play on any rush attempt in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Jaguars defense allowed scores on 49% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

    The Jaguars defense has allowed successful plays on 6% of rush attempts in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    The Jaguars defense has averaged 2.5 interceptions per game (5/2) this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 0.9.

    Los Angeles Chargers Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

    The Chargers defense has allowed an average of 4.1 yards after contact per carry (29 carries) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 2.0.

    The Chargers defense has allowed an average of 2.3 yards after contact per carry (528 carries) since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.

    The Chargers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 49% last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

    The Chargers defense allowed an average of 4.1 yards after contact per carry (16 carries) in Week 2 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 2.0.

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.