Jaguars vs Colts Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 16, 2022, 9:05 AM
  • The Colts (2-2) are -1.5 point favorites vs the Jaguars (2-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 41 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Jacksonville Jaguars (2-3) visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts (2-2) on Oct. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Indianapolis.

The Colts are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Jaguars vs. Colts Over/Under is 41 total points for the game.

Bet now on Colts vs Jaguars & all NFL games with BetMGM

Jaguars vs. Colts Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Jaguars+1.5 -11041 -110+100
Colts -1.5 -11041 -110-120

Jaguars vs. Colts Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Colts will win this Week 6 game with 60.5% confidence.

Jaguars vs Colts Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Colts will cover the spread this Week 6 with 59.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jaguars and Colts, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Christian Kirk has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the TD Passes Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+4.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Best Colts Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Colts players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nyheim Hines has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Matt Ryan has hit the TD Passes Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jonathan Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Mo Alie-Cox has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jonathan Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+2.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Colts vs Jaguars

    Player Name 1st TD Odds
    Jonathan Taylor +500
    James Robinson +700
    Michael Pittman +850
    Phillip Lindsay +850
    Deon Jackson +850

    Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Colts vs Jaguars

    Player Name Anytime TD Odds
    Jonathan Taylor -140
    James Robinson +120
    Michael Pittman +160
    Deon Jackson +160
    Christian Kirk +165

    Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Colts vs Jaguars

    Player Name Over Under
    Evan Engram 27.5 -110 27.5 -120
    Zay Jones 43.5 -115 43.5 -115
    James Robinson 9.5 -120 9.5 -115
    Michael Pittman Jr. 69.5 -115 69.5 -115
    Mo Alie-Cox 19.5 -115 19.5 -115

    Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Colts vs Jaguars

    Player Name Over Under
    Trevor Lawrence 11.5 -120 11.5 -110
    James Robinson 39.5 -115 39.5 -115
    Matt Ryan 3.5 -115 3.5 -115
    Travis Etienne 35.5 -120 35.5 -110
    Jackson 42.5 -120 42.5 -110
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have scored first in 7 of their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+5.30 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+5.10 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Under in their last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Team Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars have gone 2-3 (-1.25 Units / -22.94% ROI).

    • Jaguars are 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -20.83% ROI
    • Jaguars are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.75 Units / 13.51% ROI
    • Jaguars are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / ROI

    Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts have gone 2-3 (-1.25 Units / -23.36% ROI).

    • Colts are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -2.22% ROI
    • Colts are 0-5 when betting the Over for -5.5 Units / -100% ROI
    • Colts are 5-0 when betting the Under for +5 Units / 90.91% ROI

    Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts

    The Jaguars are winless (0-12) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .436.

    The Jaguars are 1-8 (.111) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .428.

    The Jaguars are 1-17 (.056) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .497.

    The Jaguars are 1-16 (.059) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .416.

    Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

    The Colts were 5-1 (.833) vs bottom 10 run defenses last season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .635.

    The Colts are 5-8-1 (.357) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .486.

    The Colts are undefeated (10-0-1) when allowing less than 22 points since the 2021 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .745.

    The Colts are 1-2-1 (.250) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .427.

    Additional Matchup Notes for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts

    The Colts have scored on 25.9% of their drives this season — tied for second-worst in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed scores on 25% of opponent drives this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.

    The Colts have scored on 11.8% of their drives in the first quarter this season — third-worst in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed scores on 7.7% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — tied for second-best in NFL.

    The Colts ran just 5.5% offensive plays in the red zone last week — tied for fourth-worst in NFL. Jaguars allowed their opponent to run just 3.6% of plays in the red zone in Week 3 — best in NFL.

    The Jaguars scored on 20% of their drives last week — fourth-worst in NFL. The Colts defense allowed scores on 21.4% of opponent drives in Week 3 — fifth-best in NFL.

    The Jaguars have thrown for 20+ yards on 59 of 786 attempts since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL. The Colts allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts since the 2021 season — fifth-best in NFL.

    Jaguars RBs have averaged 10.9 yards after the catch since Week 2 of the 2021 Season — fourth-best in NFL. The Colts have allowed 10.8 yards after catch per reception to RBs since Week 2 — worst in NFL.

    Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats for Week 6

    The Jaguars started 7 drives inside their own 20 yard line in Week 5 — most in NFL.

    The Jaguars have run successful plays on 31% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

    The Jaguars have run 38% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in close and late situations since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

    The Jaguars have run successful plays on 66% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

    Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats for Week 6

    The Colts have gone three and out 7 times in the 1st quarter this season — tied for most in NFL.

    The Colts have run successful plays on 0% of rush attempts in the red zone since Week 2 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

    The Colts did not record a TD in 14 drives in Week 5 — tied for worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.1.

    The Colts have run successful plays on 17% of rush attempts in the 2nd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

    Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats for Week 6

    The Jaguars defense has allowed successful plays on 16% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

    The Jaguars defense intercepted 6 of 542 attempts (90.3 pass attempts per int.) last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42.6.

    The Jaguars defense sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (3/76) on 3rd and long last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

    The Jaguars defense allowed successful plays on 53% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

    Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats for Week 6

    The Colts defense has allowed successful plays on 23% of plays in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

    The Colts defense has allowed successful plays on 25% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

    The Colts defense has allowed successful plays on 23% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

    The Colts defense has allowed a passer rating of just 45.4 on 3rd and short (45 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 101.2.

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.