- Based on preseason odds, the Kansas City Chiefs are -650 to make the postseason in 2024-25.
- Not since the 2014-15 season has Kansas City missed the playoffs entirely.
- I predict the Chiefs will once again make the playoffs this year.
Based on NFL odds and Chiefs playoff odds, the Kansas City Chiefs are predicted to make the postseason this year.
The Chiefs, which are seeking a third straight Super Bowl win, opened the season at -650 to make the playoffs. That implies a probability of 86.7%.
Bettors who believe the Chiefs will miss the playoffs could bet it before their Week 1 win at +450, an implied probability of 18.2%.
Prediction: Will the Kansas City Chiefs Make the Playoffs?
I predict the Kansas City Chiefs will make the playoffs. However, the steep price renders it unbettable from a return on investment standpoint.
A Patrick Mahomes injury is seemingly the only event that could derail the Chiefs season.
Plus, as a function of playing in a division with the Raiders and Broncos, Kansas City faces the NFL’s 12th-easiest schedule.
Even if the Chargers somehow steal the division, Kansas City has enough defensive talent to secure a wild card spot.
Kansas City Chiefs Week-by-Week Playoff Chances
| Week Number | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | -650 | 86.7% |
| Week 2 | -1000 | 90.9% |
| Week 3 | -2500 | 96.2% |
| Week 4 | -5000 | 98% |
| Week 5 | -10000 | 99% |
| Week 6 | -10000 | 99% |
| Week 7 | -10000 | 99% |
| Week 8 | -10000 | 99% |
| Week 9 | -10000 | 99% |
| Week 10 | -10000 | 99% |
| Week 11 | Off the Board | ----- |
AFC West Odds to Make the Playoffs, Preseason
| Team | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | -650 | 86.7% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | -110 | 52.4% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +300 | 25% |
| Denver Broncos | +500 | 16.7% |
When Was the Last Time the Kansas City Chiefs Won the Super Bowl?
The Chiefs won the Super Bowl in 2023, their second straight championship and third in the last five years.
Entering the 2024-25 regular season, Kansas City is the favorite in the Super Bowl Odds.
Kansas City Chiefs Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds
| Week Number | Odds to Win Super Bowl | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +600 | 14.3% |
| Week 2 | +450 | 18.2% |
| Week 3 | +450 | 18.2% |
| Week 4 | +425 | 19% |
| Week 5 | +500 | 16.7% |
| Week 6 | +475 | 17.4% |
| Week 7 | +475 | 17.4% |
| Week 8 | +425 | 19% |
| Week 9 | +400 | 20% |
| Week 10 | +400 | 20% |
| Week 11 | +400 | 20% |
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