- The Patriots (1-3) are -3.5 point favorites vs the Lions (1-3)
- Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The Detroit Lions (1-3) visit Gillette Stadium to take on the New England Patriots (1-3) on Oct. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Foxborough.
The Patriots are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Lions vs. Patriots Over/Under is 46.5 total points for the game.
Bet now on Patriots vs Lions & all NFL games with BetMGM
Lions vs. Patriots Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 5
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Lions | +3.5 -115 | 46.5 -110 | +145 |
| Patriots | -3.5 -105 | 46.5 -110 | -175 |
Lions vs. Patriots Prediction for Week 5
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Patriots will win this Week 5 game with 57.0% confidence.
Lions vs Patriots Spread Prediction for Week 5
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread this Week 5 with 56.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Lions and Patriots, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Lions players for Week 5, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Patriots Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Patriots players for Week 5, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Patriots vs Lions
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Damien Harris | +450 |
| Jamaal Williams | +550 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | +600 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | +700 |
| T.J. Hockenson | +1000 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Patriots vs Lions
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Damien Harris | -175 |
| Jamaal Williams | -145 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | -120 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | -110 |
| T.J. Hockenson | +140 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Patriots vs Lions
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jamaal Williams | 10.5 -115 | 10.5 -115 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 16.5 -115 | 16.5 -115 |
| Damien Harris | 9.5 -110 | 9.5 -120 |
| Jakobi Meyers | 43.5 -115 | 43.5 -115 |
| DeVante Parker | 36.5 -115 | 36.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Patriots vs Lions
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
| Jamaal Williams | 63.5 -115 | 63.5 -115 |
| Damien Harris | 61.5 -110 | 61.5 -115 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 54.5 -115 | 54.5 -115 |
Lions Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
Patriots Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions have gone 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- Lions are 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -56.25% ROI
- Lions are 4-0 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Lions are 0-4 when betting the Under for -4.4 Units / ROI
Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Patriots have gone 1-2 (-1.1 Units / -25.58% ROI).
- Patriots are 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -43.96% ROI
- Patriots are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Patriots are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots
The Lions are winless (0-5-1) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .493.
The Lions are 1-3-1 (.200) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .735.
The Lions are 1-9-1 (.091) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .426.
The Lions are 1-12 (.077) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season — second-worst in NFL. The Patriots have intercepted 26 passes since the 2021 season — tied for second-most in NFL.
New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions
The Patriots are 7-2 (.778) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season — ninth-best in NFL. The Lions have intercepted 12 passes since the 2021 season — tied for second-fewest in NFL.
The Patriots are winless (0-7) when allowing 27 or more points since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .195.
The Patriots are winless (0-4) when rushing at least 4 yards less than 5 times in a game since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .321.
The Patriots are 6-4 (.600) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season — tied for 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .495.
Additional Matchup Notes for Detroit Lions vs. New England Patriots
The Patriots have run 51.0% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-best in NFL. Lions have allowed their opponents to run 50.7% of plays in their territory since the 2021 season — fourth-worst in NFL.
Patriots RBs have 4 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for third-most in NFL. The Lions have allowed 10 rushing TDs this season — most in NFL.
The Patriots have thrown for 7.8 yards per attempt this season — tied for fourth-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 7.5 yards per dropback this season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.
The Lions are averaging 5.6 yards per carry this season — second-best in NFL. The Patriots have allowed 5.4 yards per carry this season — tied for third-worst in NFL.
The Lions have scored on 47.8% of their drives in the second half this season — third-best in NFL. The Patriots defense has allowed scores on 47.6% of opponent drives in the second half this season — fourth-worst in NFL.
The Lions are 1-12 (.077) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season — second-worst in NFL. The Patriots have intercepted 26 passes since the 2021 season — tied for second-most in NFL.
Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats for Week 5
The Lions ran successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Lions have 4 TDs that were 20+ yards this season — tied for most in NFL.
The Lions have faced a blitz just 8% of the time this season — tied for 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Lions have scored 14 TDs in the red zone this season — tied for most in NFL.
New England Patriots Offense: Important Stats for Week 5
The Patriots have thrown the ball 17% of the time (2 Pass Attempts/12 plays) on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Patriots ran successful plays on 59% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Patriots ran successful plays on 86% of plays in the 3rd quarter in Week 4 — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Patriots have not gone three and out on any of their drives in the 3rd quarter this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats for Week 5
The Lions defense has allowed 10 rushing TDs this season — most in NFL.
The Lions defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 75% in Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Lions defense allowed successful plays on 79% of pass attempts in the 1st half in Week 4 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Lions defense has allowed 31.8 points per game to opposing offenses (127 points / 4 games) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20.9.
New England Patriots Defense: Important Stats for Week 5
The Patriots defense allowed a passer rating of just 73.4 (539 Pass Attempts) last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 90.8.
The Patriots defense allowed just 6.6 points per game to opposing offenses (112 points / 17 games) in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.
The Patriots defense allowed 9 rushing TDs on 450 carries (50 Carries Per TD) last season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 27.9.
Offenses facing the Patriots targeted TEs 55% of the time (6 Pass Attempts/11 plays) in the red zone this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Patriots vs Lions and all NFL games with BetMGM
Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
