- Based on preseason odds, the Los Angeles Chargers are +100 to make the postseason in 2024-25.
- Los Angeles has made the playoffs once in the last five years.
- Based on potential positive regression and an easy schedule, I predict Los Angeles will make the playoffs.
Based on NFL odds and Chargers playoff odds, the Los Angeles Chargers are predicted to miss the playoffs this year.
Los Angeles is currently +100 to make the 2024 postseason, a 50% implied probability. Comparatively, LA is -120 to miss the playoffs for an implied probability of 54.5%.
Only once in the last five seasons has Los Angeles reached the playoffs.
Prediction: Will the Los Angeles Chargers Make the Playoffs?
I predict the Los Angeles Chargers will make the postseason this year.
They’ve undoubtedly made the best head coach hiring of the offseason and face an easy schedule. Based on opponent win totals, the Chargers play the NFL’s second-easiest slate.
Additionally, they’re a major positive regression candidate based on last season’s results.
Los Angeles finished 0-7 in games decided by three or fewer points and 3-8 in games decided by seven or fewer points. Expect improvement against some easy opponents.
Los Angeles Chargers Week-by-Week Playoff Chances
| Week Number | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +100 | 50% |
| Week 2 | -105 | 51.2% |
| Week 3 | +100 | 50% |
| Week 4 | +105 | 48.8% |
| Week 5 | +110 | 47.6% |
| Week 6 | +110 | 47.6% |
| Week 7 | -200 | 66.7% |
| Week 8 | -120 | 54.5% |
| Week 9 | -175 | 63.6% |
| Week 10 | -300 | 75% |
| Week 11 | -500 | 83.3% |
| Week 12 | -2000 | 95.2% |
| Week 13 | -1400 | 93.3% |
| Week 14 | -2500 | 96.2% |
| Week 15 | -2000 | 95.2% |
| Week 16 | -1100 | 91.7% |
AFC West Odds to Make the Playoffs, Preseason
| Team | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | -650 | 86.7% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +100 | 50% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +300 | 25% |
| Denver Broncos | +500 | 16.7% |
When Was the Last Time the Los Angeles Chargers Won the Super Bowl?
The Chargers are one of 12 NFL teams that have never won the Super Bowl.
In franchise history, Los Angeles has made only one championship game appearance. That came in 1995, when the Chargers fell to the San Francisco 49ers.
Los Angeles Chargers Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds
| Week Number | Odds to Win Super Bowl | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +4000 | 2.44% |
| Week 2 | +4000 | 2.44% |
| Week 3 | +4000 | 2.44% |
| Week 4 | +5000 | 1.96% |
| Week 5 | +6600 | 1.49% |
| Week 6 | +6600 | 1.49% |
| Week 7 | +5000 | 1.96% |
| Week 8 | +5000 | 1.96% |
| Week 9 | +5000 | 1.96% |
| Week 10 | +4000 | 2.44% |
| Week 11 | +3500 | 2.78% |
| Week 12 | +2500 | 3.85% |
| Week 13 | +3500 | 2.78% |
| Week 14 | +3500 | 2.78% |
| Week 15 | +4000 | 2.44% |
| Week 16 | +5000 | 1.96% |
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