- Based on preseason odds, the New York Jets are -145 to make the postseason in 2024-25.
- New York hasn’t reached the postseason since the 2010 NFL season.
- I predict a healthy Aaron Rodgers will lead the Jets back to the postseason.
Based on NFL odds and Jets playoff odds, the New York Jets are predicted to make the postseason this year.
The Jets, who lost Aaron Rodgers four plays into the 2023 season, are -145 to make the playoffs. That price implies a probability of 59.2%.
Conversely, the Jets are +120 to miss the 2024-25 postseason, an implied probability of 45.5%.
Prediction: Will the New York Jets Make the Playoffs?
I predict the New York Jets will make the postseason this year and end their playoff drought.
The Jets play the fourth-easiest schedule based on opponent win totals and return Aaron Rodgers from a season-ending injury in 2023.
New York is third in defensive EPA per play since the 2022 season, yet they rank 32nd in offensive EPA per play over that span.
With Rodgers, new receiver Mike Williams and a revamped offensive line, New York’s offense should improve enough to snag them a postseason spot.
New York Jets Week-by-Week Playoff Chances
| Week Number | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | -145 | 59.2% |
| Week 2 | -160 | 61.5% |
| Week 3 | -160 | 61.5% |
| Week 4 | -185 | 64.9% |
| Week 5 | -105 | 51.2% |
| Week 6 | +110 | 47.6% |
| Week 7 | +140 | 41.7% |
| Week 8 | +185 | 35.1% |
| Week 9 | +500 | 16.7% |
| Week 10 | +310 | 24.4% |
| Week 11 | +800 | 11.1% |
| Week 12 | +3000 | 3.23% |
| Week 13 | Off the Board | 0% |
| Week 14 | +25000 | 0.40% |
AFC East Odds to Make the Playoffs, Preseason
| Team | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | -185 | 64.9% |
| Miami Dolphins | -155 | 60.8% |
| New York Jets | -145 | 59.2% |
| New England Patriots | +900 | 10% |
When Was the Last Time the New York Jets Won the Super Bowl?
The Jets won Super Bowl III back in 1969. Since that win, the Jets have neither won a Super Bowl nor appeared in the NFL championship game.
This season, the Jets count themselves among the favorites in the Super Bowl Odds.
New York Jets Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds
| Week Number | Odds to Win Super Bowl | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +2200 | 4.35% |
| Week 2 | +2000 | 4.76% |
| Week 3 | +1800 | 5.26% |
| Week 4 | +1500 | 6.25% |
| Week 5 | +2000 | 4.76% |
| Week 6 | +3000 | 3.23% |
| Week 7 | +3000 | 3.23% |
| Week 8 | +5000 | 1.96% |
| Week 9 | +8000 | 1.23% |
| Week 10 | +6600 | 1.49% |
| Week 11 | +25000 | 0.40% |
| Week 12 | +75000 | 0.13% |
| Week 13 | +100000 | 0.01% |
| Week 14 | +100000 | 0.01% |
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