NFL Player Props Today: Week 6 Picks, Predictions

Below, bettors can find my top NFL player prop picks today for Week 6 of the regular season.

NFL odds are reflective at time of writing. 

NFL Player Prop Picks, Predictions: Week 6

Packers vs. Cardinals Prediction: Marvin Harrison Jr. 

Based on Green Bay’s struggles against the pass, my Packers vs. Cardinals player prop prediction is Marvin Harrison Jr. Over 54.5 Receiving Yards (-115). 

This rates out a great buy-low spot on Harrison, who has stayed under this number in two consecutive contests. 

However, he goes from facing a 49ers team fourth in PFF’s coverage grades to a Packers team 15th in that metric. 

Even more concerning for Green Bay? There’s a risk Jaire Alexander doesn’t play on Sunday. Alexander is currently the only Packers corner with a coverage grade higher than 57.1. 

Plus, Harrison tends to attract loads of targets against man coverage. This season, he owns a 34.2% target share vs. man, which is the highest on Arizona by 17.5%. 

Add in the potential negative game script for underdogs Arizona, and I’ll take Harrison to clear a low number against a bad Packers secondary. 

Ravens vs. Commanders Prediction: Derrick Henry

Due to Washington’s inability to stop the run and Baltimore’s fluency with Derrick Henry, my Ravens vs. Commanders prediction is Henry Over 82.5 Rushing Yards (-115). 

This number is already high for player prop standards. However, I’m not sure it’s high enough. 

Baltimore is second in rush EPA per play and fourth in rushing success rate this season. It is also one of only four teams with a rush success rate north of 50%. 

Comparatively, the Commanders rank 27th in both rush EPA per play allowed and rushing success rate allowed, per rbsdm.com. 

Henry has cleared this number in four straight games against teams with a similar defensive profile to Washington. 

Those four opponents average a rush EPA per play ranking of 28.25, with only one (Buffalo) sitting inside the top-25. 

As a result, I’ll pay to see Washington’s defense improve and hold Henry under this number for the first time since Week 1.

What is an NFL Prop Bet?

NFL prop bets are a unique opportunity to bet on specific areas of a game. You could, for example, bet on the total passing yards for a quarterback or if a team will have more or fewer than a number of rushing yards.

There are dozens of different prop bets – and hundreds of choices and thousands of prop bet parlay combinations – available for each NFL game.

Types of NFL Prop Bets

BetMGM has a wide selection of player and game prop bets available for each game. The most popular types of player props include ones like:

• First Touchdown Scorer
• Anytime Touchdown Scorer
• Total Receiving Yards by a Player
• Total Rushing Yards by a Player
• Total Receptions by a Player
• Total Passing Yards by a Player

The most popular types of game prop bets include ones like:

• Winning Margin: Packers by 1-6
• Will the game go into overtime?
• Both teams to score 20 or more points
• Will there be a score in the final two minutes of the first half?

How To Bet NFL Prop Bets

It’s never been easier to bet on NFL odds at the online sportsbook.

To view available props for each game, visit the NFL betting page and select a game. You can view all available bets or sort by type, e.g., player TDs, player props, or game props.

Once you spot a favorable number or bet that will add more excitement as you watch that game, add it to your bet slip, add a stake, and place your bet.