Panthers vs Saints Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 18

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New Orleans Saints quarterback Jameis Winston (2) celebrates a touchdown during an NFL preseason football game against the Los Angeles Chargers, Friday, Aug. 26, 2022, in New Orleans. (AP Photo/Tyler Kaufman)
(AP Photo/Tyler Kaufman)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 06, 2023, 4:15 PM
  • The Saints (7-9) are -3.5 point favorites vs the Panthers (6-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points

The Carolina Panthers (6-10) visit Caesars Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints (7-9) on Jan. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in New Orleans.

The Saints are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (+100).

The Panthers vs. Saints Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.

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Panthers vs. Saints Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 18

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Panthers+3.5 -12041.5 -110+145
Saints -3.5 +10041.5 -110-175

Panthers vs. Saints Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Saints will win this Week 18 game with 57.0% confidence.

Panthers vs Saints Spread Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Panthers will cover the spread this Week 18 with 59.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Panthers and Saints, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Panthers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Terrace Marshall Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • P.J. Walker has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Chuba Hubbard has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • P.J. Walker has hit the Completions Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Sam Darnold has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.05 Units / 50% ROI)

Best Saints Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Saints players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andy Dalton has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Jarvis Landry has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Juwan Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jarvis Landry has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Adam Trautman has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+8.60 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have scored first in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Carolina Panthers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have scored first in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Saints have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)

Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers have gone 8-8 (-0.85 Units / -4.84% ROI).

  • Panthers are 6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 2.06% ROI
  • Panthers are 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.85 Units / -4.82% ROI
  • Panthers are 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / ROI

Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints have gone 7-9 (-2.9 Units / -16.67% ROI).

  • Saints are 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -4.1% ROI
  • Saints are 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • Saints are 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI

Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints

The Panthers are 6-2 (.750) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for ninth-best in NFL. The Saints have intercepted 5 passes this season — tied for fewest in NFL.

The Panthers are winless (0-4) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.

The Panthers are winless (0-4) vs top 10 run defenses this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .431.

The Panthers are winless (0-5) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .350.

New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

The Saints are 4-0 (1.000) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — tied for best in NFL. The Panthers has allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 3 s this season — third-highest in NFL.

The Saints are undefeated (4-0) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .668.

The Saints are 4-1 (.800) when favorites this season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .645.

The Saints are 4-9 (.308) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .408.

Additional Matchup Notes for Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints

The Saints have scored on 31.1% of their drives in the first half this season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Panthers defense has allowed scores on 27.2% of opponent drives in the first half this season — second-best in NFL.

Saints WRs have averaged just 3.5 yards after the catch this season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed just 3.7 yards after catch per reception to WRs this season — tied for third-best in NFL.

The Saints are 4-0 (1.000) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — tied for best in NFL. The Panthers has allowed an average time of possession of 32 min and 3 s this season — third-highest in NFL.

The Panthers have run successful plays on just 37.6% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL. Saints have allowed successful plays on just 41.3% of pass attempts this season — third-best in NFL.

The Panthers ran just 5.0% offensive plays in the red zone last week — fourth-worst in NFL. Saints allowed their opponent to run just 0.0% of plays in the red zone in Week 14 — best in NFL.

The Panthers have thrown for 3,182 passing yards in 16 games (just 198.9 YPG) this season — fifth-worst in NFL. The Saints have allowed just 193.9 passing yards per game this season — third-best in NFL.

Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats for Week 18

The Panthers have run successful plays on 35% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Panthers have run successful plays on 32% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Panthers have run successful plays on 38% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Panthers ran successful plays on 37% of pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats for Week 18

The Saints averaged 202.2 passing yards per game (3,437/17) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 244.0.

The Saints have thrown the ball 33% of the time (58 Pass Attempts/177 plays) since Week 14 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Saints threw the ball 48% of the time (504 Pass Attempts/1,051 plays) last season — 3rd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

The Saints ran 6% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats for Week 18

The Panthers defense has allowed scores on 15% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Panthers defense allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Panthers defense has allowed scores on 14% of opponent drives in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

The Panthers defense sacked opposing QBs just once on 66 pass attempts in the red zone last season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 17.3.

New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats for Week 18

Only 11% of the plays ran against the Saints were in their own territory in Week 17 — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Saints defense allowed successful plays on 32% of plays in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Saints defense allowed successful plays on 33% of rush attempts last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Saints defense has allowed rushes of 10+ yards on 8 of 10 carries (80%) on 3rd and long this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 27%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.