- The Patriots (6-6) are -1.5 point favorites vs the Cardinals (4-8)
- Total (Over/Under): 45 points
- Watch Monday Night Football on ESPN
The New England Patriots visit State Farm Stadium to take on the Arizona Cardinals on Dec. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Glendale.
The Patriots are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Patriots vs. Cardinals Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.
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Patriots vs. Cardinals Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 14
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Patriots | -1.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 | -125 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 | +105 |
Patriots vs. Cardinals Prediction for Week 14
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Patriots will win this Week 14 game with 55.3% confidence.
Patriots vs Cardinals Spread Prediction for Week 14
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Patriots will cover the spread this Week 14 with 53.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Patriots and Cardinals, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Patriots Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Patriots players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Mac Jones has hit the Completions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Damien Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 54% ROI)
- Mac Jones has hit the Interceptions Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.55 Units / 36% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cardinals players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- A.J. Green has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Marquise Brown has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+4.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kyler Murray has hit the Passing Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Zach Ertz has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- A.J. Green has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.25 Units / 26% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Cardinals vs Patriots
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | +450 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | +750 |
| James Conner | +800 |
| Marquise Brown | +1000 |
| Jakobi Meyers | +1100 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Cardinals vs Patriots
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson | -165 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | -105 |
| James Conner | +115 |
| Marquise Brown | +145 |
| Kyler Murray | +190 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Cardinals vs Patriots
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jonnu Smith | 12.5 -120 | 12.5 -110 |
| James Conner | 18.5 -115 | 18.5 -115 |
| Hunter Henry | 30.5 -110 | 30.5 -120 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 75.5 -115 | 75.5 -115 |
| Nelson Agholor | 29.5 -115 | 29.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Cardinals vs Patriots
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| James Conner | 61.5 -110 | 61.5 -120 |
| Kyler Murray | 35.5 -120 | 35.5 -110 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 77.5 -115 | 77.5 -115 |
Patriots Best Bets for Week 14:
- The New England Patriots have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in their last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.50 Units / 74% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.45 Units / 62% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.00 Units / 71% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets for Week 14:
- The Arizona Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 10 games at home (+2.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.25 Units / 13% ROI)
Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Patriots have gone 6-5 (+0.65 Units / 5.06% ROI).
- Patriots are 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -14.75% ROI
- Patriots are 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
- Patriots are 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cardinals have gone 6-6 (-0.65 Units / -4.92% ROI).
- Cardinals are 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -23.77% ROI
- Cardinals are 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 19.7% ROI
- Cardinals are 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -28.03% ROI
New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the Arizona Cardinals
The Patriots are winless (0-4) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .302.
The Patriots are winless (0-3) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .395.
The Patriots are 1-2 (.333) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — tied for 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Patriots are winless (0-3) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .389.
Arizona Cardinals: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots
The Cardinals are winless (0-7) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .390.
The Cardinals are winless (0-7) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .389.
The Cardinals are 1-5 (.167) at home this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .564.
The Cardinals are winless (0-6) when scoring less than 22 points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .260.
Additional Matchup Notes for New England Patriots vs. Arizona Cardinals
Cardinals RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on just 7.3% of 233 carries this season — third-worst in NFL. The Patriots have allowed 10+ yards on just 7.5% of carries to RBs this season — third-best in NFL.
The Cardinals have been successful on just 38.2% of plays they have run since Week 10 — fifth-worst in NFL. Patriots have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 36.3% of plays since Week 10 — third-best in NFL.
The Cardinals have scored on 17.6% of their drives in the second half since Week 10 — second-worst in NFL. The Patriots defense has allowed scores on 20% of opponent drives in the second half since Week 10 — fourth-best in NFL.
The Patriots have run successful plays on just 17.6% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure this season — third-worst in NFL. The Cardinals have pressured opposing QBs on 26.5% of passing plays this season — fourth-best in NFL.
The Patriots have an average drive start position from the 28.7 yard line this season — second-best in NFL. The Cardinals have allowed an average drive start position from the 27.7 yard line this season — fourth-worst in NFL.
The Patriots have run successful plays on just 0.0% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure since Week 10 — tied for worst in NFL. The Cardinals have pressured opposing QBs on 35.4% of passing plays since Week 10 — best in NFL.
New England Patriots Offense: Important Stats for Week 14
The Patriots have run successful plays on 24% of rush attempts in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Patriots have converted first downs on just 27 of 128 plays (21%) in close and late situations this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.
The Patriots have converted first downs on just 44 of 198 plays (22%) in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.
The Patriots are averaging 13.5 drives per TD in close and late situations this season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.0.
Arizona Cardinals Offense: Important Stats for Week 14
The Cardinals have run successful plays on 59% of rush attempts in close and late situations this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Cardinals have scored on 18% of their drives in the 3rd quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
The Cardinals converted first downs on 36 of 102 plays (35%) on 3rd and long last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Cardinals have committed 25 turnovers since the 2021 season — tied for fewest in NFL.
New England Patriots Defense: Important Stats for Week 14
The Patriots defense has allowed 12 rushing TDs on 115 carries (9.6 Carries Per TD) in the red zone since the 2021 season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.
The Patriots defense allowed just 6.6 points per game to opposing offenses (112 points / 17 games) in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.
The Patriots defense has averaged 1.2 interceptions per game (35/29) since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.
The Patriots defense has not forced any fumbles (307 carries) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 80.5.
Arizona Cardinals Defense: Important Stats for Week 14
21% of the plays run against the Cardinals have been in the red zone in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
The Cardinals defense has allowed 4.9 points per Red Zone drive this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.
The Cardinals defense has allowed 33 first down receptions on passes when they have pressured the QB this season — most in NFL.
The Cardinals defense has allowed a passer rating of 97.1 when they have pressured the QB (91 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52.6.
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