Patriots vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 14, MNF

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Kyler Murray Arizona Cardinals
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 11, 2022, 10:00 AM
  • The Patriots (6-6) are -1.5 point favorites vs the Cardinals (4-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 45 points
  • Watch Monday Night Football on ESPN

The New England Patriots visit State Farm Stadium to take on the Arizona Cardinals on Dec. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Glendale.

The Patriots are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Patriots vs. Cardinals Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.

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Patriots vs. Cardinals Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 14

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Patriots-1.5 -11043.5 -110-125
Cardinals +1.5 -11043.5 -110+105

Patriots vs. Cardinals Prediction for Week 14

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Patriots will win this Week 14 game with 55.3% confidence.

Patriots vs Cardinals Spread Prediction for Week 14

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Patriots will cover the spread this Week 14 with 53.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Patriots and Cardinals, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Patriots Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Patriots players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Mac Jones has hit the Completions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Damien Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Mac Jones has hit the Interceptions Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.55 Units / 36% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cardinals players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • A.J. Green has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Marquise Brown has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+4.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Kyler Murray has hit the Passing Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Zach Ertz has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • A.J. Green has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.25 Units / 26% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Cardinals vs Patriots

Player Name 1st TD Odds
Rhamondre Stevenson +450
DeAndre Hopkins +750
James Conner +800
Marquise Brown +1000
Jakobi Meyers +1100

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Cardinals vs Patriots

Player Name Anytime TD Odds
Rhamondre Stevenson -165
DeAndre Hopkins -105
James Conner +115
Marquise Brown +145
Kyler Murray +190

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Cardinals vs Patriots

Player Name Over Under
Jonnu Smith 12.5 -120 12.5 -110
James Conner 18.5 -115 18.5 -115
Hunter Henry 30.5 -110 30.5 -120
DeAndre Hopkins 75.5 -115 75.5 -115
Nelson Agholor 29.5 -115 29.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Cardinals vs Patriots

Player Name Over Under
James Conner 61.5 -110 61.5 -120
Kyler Murray 35.5 -120 35.5 -110
Rhamondre Stevenson 77.5 -115 77.5 -115
  • The New England Patriots have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in their last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.20 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.50 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.45 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The New England Patriots have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 10 games at home (+2.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.25 Units / 13% ROI)

Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Patriots have gone 6-5 (+0.65 Units / 5.06% ROI).

  • Patriots are 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -14.75% ROI
  • Patriots are 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
  • Patriots are 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cardinals have gone 6-6 (-0.65 Units / -4.92% ROI).

  • Cardinals are 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -23.77% ROI
  • Cardinals are 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 19.7% ROI
  • Cardinals are 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -28.03% ROI

New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the Arizona Cardinals

The Patriots are winless (0-4) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .302.

The Patriots are winless (0-3) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .395.

The Patriots are 1-2 (.333) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — tied for 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.

The Patriots are winless (0-3) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .389.

Arizona Cardinals: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots

The Cardinals are winless (0-7) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .390.

The Cardinals are winless (0-7) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .389.

The Cardinals are 1-5 (.167) at home this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .564.

The Cardinals are winless (0-6) when scoring less than 22 points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .260.

Additional Matchup Notes for New England Patriots vs. Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on just 7.3% of 233 carries this season — third-worst in NFL. The Patriots have allowed 10+ yards on just 7.5% of carries to RBs this season — third-best in NFL.

The Cardinals have been successful on just 38.2% of plays they have run since Week 10 — fifth-worst in NFL. Patriots have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 36.3% of plays since Week 10 — third-best in NFL.

The Cardinals have scored on 17.6% of their drives in the second half since Week 10 — second-worst in NFL. The Patriots defense has allowed scores on 20% of opponent drives in the second half since Week 10 — fourth-best in NFL.

The Patriots have run successful plays on just 17.6% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure this season — third-worst in NFL. The Cardinals have pressured opposing QBs on 26.5% of passing plays this season — fourth-best in NFL.

The Patriots have an average drive start position from the 28.7 yard line this season — second-best in NFL. The Cardinals have allowed an average drive start position from the 27.7 yard line this season — fourth-worst in NFL.

The Patriots have run successful plays on just 0.0% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure since Week 10 — tied for worst in NFL. The Cardinals have pressured opposing QBs on 35.4% of passing plays since Week 10 — best in NFL.

New England Patriots Offense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Patriots have run successful plays on 24% of rush attempts in the red zone this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.

The Patriots have converted first downs on just 27 of 128 plays (21%) in close and late situations this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Patriots have converted first downs on just 44 of 198 plays (22%) in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Patriots are averaging 13.5 drives per TD in close and late situations this season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.0.

Arizona Cardinals Offense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Cardinals have run successful plays on 59% of rush attempts in close and late situations this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Cardinals have scored on 18% of their drives in the 3rd quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.

The Cardinals converted first downs on 36 of 102 plays (35%) on 3rd and long last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25%.

The Cardinals have committed 25 turnovers since the 2021 season — tied for fewest in NFL.

New England Patriots Defense: Important Stats for Week 14

The Patriots defense has allowed 12 rushing TDs on 115 carries (9.6 Carries Per TD) in the red zone since the 2021 season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.

The Patriots defense allowed just 6.6 points per game to opposing offenses (112 points / 17 games) in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.

The Patriots defense has averaged 1.2 interceptions per game (35/29) since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.

The Patriots defense has not forced any fumbles (307 carries) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 80.5.

Arizona Cardinals Defense: Important Stats for Week 14

21% of the plays run against the Cardinals have been in the red zone in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.

The Cardinals defense has allowed 4.9 points per Red Zone drive this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

The Cardinals defense has allowed 33 first down receptions on passes when they have pressured the QB this season — most in NFL.

The Cardinals defense has allowed a passer rating of 97.1 when they have pressured the QB (91 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 52.6.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.