- The Rams are -3 point favorites vs the Saints
- Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Los Angeles Rams (5-6-0) visit Caesars Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints (4-7-0) on Dec. 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EST in New Orleans, LA.
The Rams are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).
The Rams vs. Saints Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.
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Rams vs. Saints Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Rams | -3 -105 | 48.5 -110 | -155 |
| Saints | +3 -115 | 48.5 -110 | +130 |
Rams vs. Saints Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Rams will win this game with 75.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Rams vs Saints Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Saints will cover the spread with 64.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Rams players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rams Player Prop Bets Today
- Matthew Stafford has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Matthew Stafford has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Kyren Williams has hit the Carries Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matthew Stafford has hit the Passing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Tyler Higbee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Saints players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Saints Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Derek Carr has hit the TD Passes Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 61% ROI)
- Derek Carr has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Foster Moreau has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jamaal Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 55% ROI)
Rams Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+8.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.26 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.25 Units / 18% ROI)
Saints Best Bets:
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 4Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+4.75 Units / 31% ROI)
Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams art 4-7 (-3.65 Units / -30.29% ROI).
- Rams are 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.33% ROI
- Rams are 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.45 Units / 3.7% ROI
- Rams are 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / ROI
Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints are 5-6 (-1.55 Units / -12.97% ROI).
- Saints are 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -25.6% ROI
- Saints are 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
- Saints are 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints
The Rams are 2-5 (.286) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — T-7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Rams were 7-5 (.583) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .363.
The Rams were 5-2 (.714) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .513.
The Rams are winless (0-5) when allowing 27 or more points since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .169.
New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams
The Saints are 1-6 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .438.
The Saints are winless (0-4) whe trailing at the end of the frist half this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .269.
The Saints are winless (0-5) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .413.
The Saints are 1-8 (.111) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .267.
Additional Matchup Notes for Los Angeles Rams vs. New Orleans Saints
The Saints have averaged 0.23 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Rams have allowed 0.15 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Saints have run successful plays on 46.5% of rush attempts with motion since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Rams have allowed successful plays on 47.3% of rush attempts against motion since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Saints have run successful plays on just 39.1% of pass attempts against a base rush this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Rams have pressured opposing QBs on 29.4% of pass attempts with a base rush this season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Rams have been successful on 63.0% of plays they have run against a stacked front this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Saints have allowed their opponents to be successful on 57.1% of plays with a stacked front this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
Rams WRs have 209.8 receiving yards per game this season — best in NFL. The Saints have averaged 178.1 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
Los Angeles Rams Offense: Important Stats
The Rams have run successful plays on 86% of pass attempts against a light rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Rams have run successful plays on 17% of rush attempts against a base rush this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 51%.
The Rams have run successful plays on 86% of plays against a light rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Rams had a third down conversion rate of 0% in Week 12 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
New Orleans Saints Offense: Important Stats
The Saints averaged 0.26 epa per play on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.12.
The Saints have targeted RBs 26% of the time (89 Pass Attempts/343 plays) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Saints have scored 5 TDs from their own territory this season — T-most in NFL.
The Saints ran successful plays on 56% of pass attempts on motion plays last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
Los Angeles Rams Defense: Important Stats
The Rams defense have allowed 0.66 epa per play open coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.40.
The Rams defense have allowed -0.81 epa per play with a heavy rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.
The Rams defense has allowed a passer rating of 142.9 open coverage (128 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 121.4.
The Rams defense has allowed a passer rating of just 31.1 on 3rd and long (38 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 81.9.
New Orleans Saints Defense: Important Stats
The Saints defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 41% on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
The Saints defense allowed first downs on just 41% of plays on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
The Saints defense has allowed 6.8 yards after the catch (390 RAC / 57 receptions) to TEs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.
The Saints defense allowed a Completion Pct of just 32% (9 completions/28 attempts) on 3rd and short last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 63%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
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