- Based on preseason odds, the San Francisco 49ers are -450 to make the postseason in 2024-25.
- The 49ers have made the playoffs three years in a row.
- How San Francisco could fall out of the 2024 postseason, which is an unlikely outcome.
Based on NFL odds and 49ers playoff odds, the San Francisco 49ers are predicted to make the postseason this year.
San Francisco, who represented the NFC in last year’s Super Bowl, is -450 to reach the playoffs. That price implies a probability of 81.8%.
Comparatively, head coach Kyle Shanahan’s team is +350 to miss the playoffs next year. That implies a probability of 22.2%.
Prediction: Will the San Francisco 49ers Make the Playoffs?
I predict the 49ers will make the playoffs this season. However, there’s a clear scenario that sees San Francisco miss it.
The 49ers play a harder-than-average schedule based on opponent win totals and could have that schedule compounded by scheduling disadvantages.
According to sharpfootballanalysis.com, San Francisco faces a -21 net rest edge, the largest in the league. All told, the 49ers play eight games where their opponent has more time to prepare.
That might not matter for a team as talented as San Francisco in the weaker conference. However, it’s enough of a concern that I’m not laying this number.
San Francisco 49ers Week-by-Week Playoff Chances
| Week Number | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | -450 | 81.8% |
| Week 2 | -1000 | 90.9% |
| Week 3 | -550 | 84.6% |
| Week 4 | -275 | 73.3% |
| Week 5 | -275 | 73.3% |
| Week 6 | -165 | 62.3% |
| Week 7 | -275 | 73.3% |
| Week 8 | -155 | 60.8% |
| Week 9 | -175 | 63.6% |
| Week 10 | -175 | 63.6% |
| Week 11 | -185 | 64.9% |
| Week 12 | +185 | 35.1% |
| Week 13 | +400 | 20% |
| Week 14 | +750 | 11.8% |
| Week 15 | +1000 | 9.1% |
| Week 16 | +8000 | 1.23% |
NFC West Odds to Make the Playoffs, Preseason
| Team | Odds to Make Playoffs | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers | -450 | 81.8% |
| Los Angeles Rams | -115 | 53.5% |
| Seattle Seahawks | +185 | 35.1% |
| Arizona Cardinals | +300 | 25% |
When Was the Last Time the San Francisco 49ers Won the Super Bowl?
The 49ers’ most recent Super Bowl win came in 1995 over the Chargers. They’ve appeared in three Super Bowls since, but have lost all three by a combined 17 points.
San Francisco owns five Super Bowl crowns in franchise history and count themselves amongst the favorites in this year’s Super Bowl Odds.
San Francisco 49ers Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds
| Week Number | Odds to Win Super Bowl | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Preseason | +650 | 13.3% |
| Week 2 | +550 | 15.4% |
| Week 3 | +600 | 14.3% |
| Week 4 | +650 | 13.3% |
| Week 5 | +650 | 13.3% |
| Week 6 | +750 | 11.8% |
| Week 7 | +700 | 12.5% |
| Week 8 | +900 | 10% |
| Week 9 | +800 | 11.1% |
| Week 10 | +1000 | 9.1% |
| Week 11 | +1000 | 9.1% |
| Week 12 | +2000 | 4.76% |
| Week 13 | +6600 | 1.49% |
| Week 14 | +12500 | 0.79% |
| Week 15 | +10000 | 0.99% |
| Week 16 | +20000 | 0.50% |
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