Titans vs Bears Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NFL, Week 1

Chicago Bears wide receiver DJ Moore celebrates his touchdown reception from quarterback Justin Fields in the end zone during the second half of an NFL football game against the Detroit Lions Sunday, Dec. 10, 2023, in Chicago. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
(AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
  • The Bears are -3.5 point favorites vs the Titans
  • Total (Over/Under): 45 points
  • Watch this game on FOX

The Tennessee Titans (0-0-0) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (0-0-0) on Sep. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

The Bears are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Titans vs. Bears Over/Under is 45 total points for the game.

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Titans vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Titans+3.5 -11045 -110+155
Bears -3.5 -11045 -110-190

Titans vs. Bears Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Bears will win this game with 61.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Titans vs Bears Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Titans will cover the spread with 60.2% confidence.


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Best Titans Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Titans players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Tony Pollard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Calvin Ridley has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.15 Units / 61% ROI)
  • DeAndre Hopkins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Calvin Ridley has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.80 Units / 61% ROI)

Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • D’Andre Swift has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Cairo Santos has hit the Field Goals Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.55 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Cole Kmet has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Roschon Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 44% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bears vs Titans

Player Name 1st TD Odds
D'Andre Swift (CHI) +750

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bears vs Titans

Player Name Over Under
Dโ€™Andre Swift (CHI) 11.5 -110 11.5 -120
Keenan Allen (CHI) 47.5 -115 47.5 -115
Khalil Herbert (CHI) 2.5 -120 2.5 -110
Rome Odunze (CHI) 42.5 -115 42.5 -115
D.J. Moore (CHI) 60.5 -115 60.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bears vs Titans

Player Name Over Under
Tyjae Spears (TEN) 31.5 -110 31.5 -120
Will Levis (TEN) 8.5 -120 8.5 -110
Caleb Williams (CHI) 15.5 -115 15.5 -115
Khalil Herbert (CHI) 26.5 -115 26.5 -115
Tony Pollard (TEN) 44.5 -120 44.5 -110
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+7.05 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have scored first in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.20 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 43% ROI)

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Titans went 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Titans are 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 52.54% ROI
  • Titans are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Titans are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / ROI

Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Bears went 4-0 (+4 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Bears are 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 67.69% ROI
  • Bears are 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • Bears are 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears

The Titans were 1-2 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.

The Titans were winless (0-8) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.

The Titans are 1-4 (.200) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.

The Titans were 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.

Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Bears are 1-12 (.077) when allowing 250 or more passing yards since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .445.

The Bears were 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .371.

The Bears were winless (0-4) when rushing for less than 100 yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .336.

The Bears were 2-9 (.182) when committing 1 or more turnovers last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.

Additional Matchup Notes for Tennessee Titans vs. Chicago Bears

The Bears were successful on just 25.0% of plays they have run against a stacked front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Titans allowed their opponents to be successful on just 0.0% of plays with a stacked front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL.

The Bears ran successful plays on just 20.0% of pass attempts against a light rush last season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Titans pressured opposing QBs on 33.3% of pass attempts with a light rush last season — T-best in NFL.

The Bears ran successful plays on just 33.3% of pass attempts against a light front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Titans pressured opposing QBs on 33.3% of pass attempts with a light front in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-3rd-best in NFL.

The Titans were successful on just 40.5% of plays they have run on play action passes last season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Bears allowed their opponents to be successful on just 40.5% of plays on play action passes last season — 4th-best in NFL.

The Titans ran just 35.3% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Bears allowed their opponents to runjust 33.7% of plays in their territory in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-best in NFL.

Titans RBs have averaged 9.2 yards after the catch since the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed 9.0 yards after catch per reception to RBs since the 2022 season — worst in NFL.

Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats

The Titans have scored on 18% of their drives in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.

The Titans were flagged 9 times for 10+ yards on offense last season — fewest in NFL.

The Titans are averaging 11.1 drives per TD in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.

The Titans ran 33% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats

The Bears averaged -0.76 epa per play against a light rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.

The Bears ran successful plays on 100% of plays on first read passes in Week 18 — best in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Bears ran successful plays on 100% of pass attempts on first read passes in Week 18 — best in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Bears were sacked on 24% of pass attempts (5/21) in Week 18 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 8%.

Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats

The Titans defense has allowed successful plays on 35% of rush attempts with a base rush since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.

The Titans defense allowed 9 rushing TDs on 89 carries (9.9 Carries Per TD) in the red zone last season — best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.

The Titans defense has allowed successful plays on 35% of rush attempts with a base front since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Titans defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of rush attempts in the 2nd half since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats

The Bears defense has allowed first downs on 47% of plays on 3rd down since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Bears defense has averaged a sack every 22.9 pass attempts (1,147 Pass Attempts/50 Sacks) since the 2022 season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.4.

The Bears defense allowed successful plays on 41% of pass attempts against play action passes last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 51%.

The Bears defense allowed 58.8 receiving yards per game (1,000/17) to RBs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32.4.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.