- The Vikings (12-4) are -4 point favorites vs the Bears (3-13)
- Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
The Minnesota Vikings (12-4) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (3-13) on Jan. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Chicago.
The Vikings are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Vikings vs. Bears Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.
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Vikings vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 18
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Vikings | -5.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | -250 |
| Bears | +5.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | +200 |
Vikings vs. Bears Prediction for Week 18
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this Week 18 game with 81.5% confidence.
Vikings vs Bears Spread Prediction for Week 18
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread this Week 18 with 57.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Vikings and Bears, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kirk Cousins has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.35 Units / 55% ROI)
- Dalvin Cook has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- T.J. Hockenson has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 away games (+5.20 Units / 79% ROI)
Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Justin Fields has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.80 Units / 73% ROI)
- Chase Claypool has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- David Montgomery has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games (+6.15 Units / 111% ROI)
- Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.95 Units / 105% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 54% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bears vs Vikings
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Dalvin Cook | +500 |
| Justin Jefferson | +550 |
| T.J. Hockenson | +650 |
| David Montgomery | +750 |
| Alexander Mattison | +900 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bears vs Vikings
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Dalvin Cook | -130 |
| Justin Jefferson | -120 |
| David Montgomery | -105 |
| T.J. Hockenson | +105 |
| Khalil Herbert | +145 |
Vikings Best Bets for Week 18:
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
Bears Best Bets for Week 18:
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 42% ROI)
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings have gone 6-9 (-3.9 Units / -22.1% ROI).
- Vikings are 12-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.3 Units / 33.94% ROI
- Vikings are 11-5 when betting the Over for +5.5 Units / 31.25% ROI
- Vikings are 5-11 when betting the Under for -7.1 Units / ROI
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears have gone 5-10 (-6.1 Units / -34.46% ROI).
- Bears are 3-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -40.99% ROI
- Bears are 10-6 when betting the Over for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI
- Bears are 6-10 when betting the Under for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Vikings are 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — tied for eighth-best in NFL. The Bears have averaged just 1.2 sacks per game over that time span — worst in NFL.
The Vikings are undefeated (9-0) when within 7 points at the two minute warning this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Vikings are undefeated (11-0) when favorites this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .645.
The Vikings are undefeated (8-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .496.
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Bears are winless (0-2) when sacking the QB 3 or more times this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .615.
The Bears are 1-7 (.125) when within 7 points at the two minute warning this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Bears are winless (0-6) when allowing 250 or more passing yards this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .480.
The Bears are 1-8 (.111) when not forcing a fumble this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .423.
Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears
Bears RBs have averaged 8.9 yards after the catch this season — third-best in NFL. The Vikings have allowed 8.4 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — tied for third-worst in NFL.
The Bears have thrown for 20+ yards on 37 of 349 attempts this season — tied for fifth-best in NFL. The Vikings allowed 20+ yards on 10.0% of attempts this season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.
Bears RBs have just 0.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed an average of 24 PPG this season — fourth-worst in NFL.
The Vikings have thrown the ball 60.7% of the time this season — third-highest in NFL. The Bears have allowed 7.5 yards per dropback this season — tied for worst in NFL.
The Vikings have thrown the ball 61.3% of the time in the red zone this season — second-highest in NFL. The Bears have allowed a completion rate of 70.2% when defending in the red zone this season — worst in NFL.
The Vikings have scored 37 TDs in the red zone this season — tied for fifth-most in NFL. The Bears have allowed 37 TDs when defending in the red zone this season — second-most in NFL.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats for Week 18
The Vikings have scored on 49% of their drives in close and late situations this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Vikings have gone three and out 31 times in the 2nd quarter since the 2021 season — most in NFL.
The Vikings have run the ball on 34% of plays (356 carries/1,051 plays) this season — 3rd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Vikings have run the ball on 25% of plays (17 carries/67 plays) on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats for Week 18
The Bears have run the ball on 42% of plays (87 carries/209 plays) on 3rd down this season — 2nd-highest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Bears have been sacked on 14% of pass attempts (57/406) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
The Bears have thrown the ball 37% of the time (349 Pass Attempts/940 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Bears have thrown the ball 44% of the time (890 Pass Attempts/2,012 plays) since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats for Week 18
Offenses facing the Vikings targeted TEs 15% of the time (90 Pass Attempts/590 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Vikings defense have forced three and outs on 15% of opponent drives since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
The Vikings defense has allowed 411.5 yards from scrimmage per game this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 356.7.
The Vikings defense has allowed 288.1 receiving yards per game (4,609/16) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 235.4.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats for Week 18
The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 49% this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Bears defense has allowed 29 rushing TDs this season — most in NFL.
The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 38% on 3rd and long this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Bears defense has allowed successful plays on 60% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
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