Boise St vs Wyoming Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

BetMGM Betting Nov 22, 2024, 1:14 PM

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Wyoming defensive tackle Jordan Bertagnole walks the sidelines during an NCAA college football game against Illinois Sunday, Aug. 28, 2022, in Champaign, Ill. (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)

(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)

Boise St is a -22.5 point favorite vs. Wyoming
Boise State vs. Wyoming Total (Over/Under): 57.5 points
TV Channel: CBSSN

The Boise State Broncos (9-1) visit Jonah Field at War Memorial Stadium to take on the Wyoming Cowboys (2-8) on Nov. 23 in Laramie, WY. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.

Boise St is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -22.5 (-110).

The Boise State vs. Wyoming Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

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Boise State vs. Wyoming Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Boise State	-22.5 -110	57.5 -110	-2500
Wyoming	+22.5 -110	57.5 -110	+1050

Boise State vs Wyoming Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Boise State will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Boise St and Wyoming, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Boise State vs Wyoming Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wyoming will cover the spread with 62.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Boise State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Boise State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 10 games (+14.90 Units / 29% ROI)
Boise State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.00 Units / 6% ROI)
Boise State has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
Boise State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 30% ROI)

Wyoming Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Wyoming has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.75 Units / 28% ROI)
Wyoming has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Wyoming has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Boise State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Boise State Player Prop Bets Today

Ashton Jeanty has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Ashton Jeanty has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Maddux Madsen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Matt Lauter has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Ashton Jeanty has hit the Receptions Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 56% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Wyoming players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Wyoming Player Prop Best Bets Today

Evan Svoboda has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)

Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boise St is 7-2 against the spread this college football season (+4.8 Units / 43.44% ROI).

Boise State is 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 5.33% ROI
Boise State is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
Boise State is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI

Wyoming Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wyoming is 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI).

Wyoming is 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -51.23% ROI
Wyoming is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
Wyoming is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Boise State: Keys to the Game vs. Wyoming

Boise State is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .533

Boise State is 16-4 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .625

Boise State is 15-6 (.714) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .553

Boise State is 9-1 (.900) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .553

Wyoming: Keys to the Game vs. Boise State

Wyoming is 9-3 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .633

Wyoming is 4-10 (.286) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-40th-worst in FBS; Average: .413

Wyoming is 1-9 (.100) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .352

Wyoming is 9-3 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584

Matchup Notes for Boise State vs. Wyoming

Wyoming’s QBs has thrown for 1,854 passing yards in 10 games (just 185.4 YPG) this season — 27th-worst among FBS teams. Boise State’s defense has allowed 267.0 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Wyoming’s RBs has averaged just 6.6 yards after the catch this season — T-31st-worst among FBS RBs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming’s offense has thrown for 1,854 passing yards in 10 games (just 185.4 YPG) this season — 26th-worst among FBS offenses. Boise State’s defense has allowed 267.0 passing yards per game this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State’s RBs has rushed for 2,374 yards on 340 carries (7.0 YPC) this season — best among FBS RBs. Wyoming’s defense have allowed 5.6 YPC this season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State’s RBs has rushed for 2,374 yards on 340 carries (7.0 YPC) this season — best among FBS RBs. Wyoming’s defense have allowed 5.8 YPC to RBs this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State’s RBs has rushed for 2,374 yards on 340 carries (7.0 YPC) this season — best among FBS RBs. Wyoming’s defense have allowed 5.6 YPC this season — T-3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends

Boise State RBs have averaged 237.4 rushing yards per game (2,374/10) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 127.0

Boise State RBs have rushed for 14 TDs in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Boise State RBs have rushed for 32 TDs this season– most among FBS Teams

Boise State RBs have averaged 7.0 Yards per Carry (2,374 yards/340 carries) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Boise State RBs have averaged 6.3 Yards per Carry (4,881 yards/774 carries) since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Wyoming Offensive Stats & Trends

Wyoming’s RBs has averaged just 6.6 yards after the catch this season — T-31st-worst among FBS RBs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wyoming have just 185.4 receiving yards per game this season — 26th-worst among FBS skill players. Boise State’s defense has allowed 267.0 receiving yards per game this season — 5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Boise State Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends

Boise State has sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Boise State has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (42/334) this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Boise State has sacked opponents 42 times this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Boise State has sacked opponents 42 times this season– 2nd-most in FBS

Boise State allowed 9 receptions for 20+ yards last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Wyoming Cowboys Defensive Stats & Trends

Wyoming has averaged a sack every 32.6 pass attempts (293 Pass Attempts/9 Sacks) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.3

Wyoming has averaged a sack every 32.6 pass attempts (293 Pass Attempts/9 Sacks) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.6

Wyoming sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Wyoming has allowed 7.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (543 yards / 69 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 5.2

Wyoming has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 20 rushing attempts (15% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 28th-best in FBS; Average: 10%.