- Colorado is a -7 point favorite vs. Colorado St
- Colorado vs. Colorado State Total(Over/Under): 58.5 points
- TV Channel: CBS
The Colorado Buffaloes (1-1) visit Canvas Stadium to take on the Colorado State Rams (1-1) on Sep. 14 in Fort Collins, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Colorado is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The Colorado vs. Colorado State Over/Under is 58.5 total points.
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Colorado vs. Colorado State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Colorado | -7 -110 | 58.5 -105 | -275 |
Colorado State | +7 -110 | 58.5 -115 | +225 |
Colorado vs Colorado State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Colorado will win this game with 70.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Colorado and Colorado St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Colorado vs Colorado State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado State will cover the spread with 64.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Colorado Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Colorado has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.05 Units / 16% ROI)
Colorado State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Colorado State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+3.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+3.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Colorado State have covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Colorado players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Colorado Player Prop Bets Today
- Jimmy Horn Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 61% ROI)
- Shedeur Sanders has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Shedeur Sanders has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 away games (+4.25 Units / 62% ROI)
- Shedeur Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Charlie Offerdahl has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Colorado State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Colorado State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.15 Units / 115% ROI)
- Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tory Horton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Colorado Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Colorado is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Colorado is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Colorado is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Colorado is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Colorado St is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.15 Units / -100% ROI).
- Colorado State is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Colorado State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Colorado State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Colorado: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado State
Colorado is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .398
Colorado is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .406
Colorado is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .438
Colorado is 3-9 (.250) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .425
Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado
Colorado State is 1-4 (.200) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .438
Colorado State is 2-7 (.182) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .395
Colorado State is 2-3 (.333) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .517
Colorado State is 1-10 (.083) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2022 season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: .399
Matchup Notes for Colorado vs. Colorado State
Colorado State’s QBs has thrown for 254 passing yards in 2 games (just 127.0 YPG) this season — 10th-worst among FBS teams. Colorado’s defense has allowed 238.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 254 passing yards in 2 games (just 127.0 YPG) this season — 10th-worst among FBS offenses. Colorado’s defense has allowed 238.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.0% of 50 attempts this season — 20th-worst among FBS offenses. Colorado’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.1% of attempts this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado has gained 447 yards on 32 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-32nd-best among FBS skill players. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 14.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado’s offense has thrown for 689 passing yards in 2 games (344.5 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 273.0 passing yards per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado’s QBs has thrown for 689 passing yards in 2 games (344.5 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS teams. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 273.0 passing yards per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado Offensive Stats & Trends
Colorado TEs have averaged just 2.0 yards per reception (2 yards/1 catches) this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.5
Colorado has gained 447 yards on 32 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-32nd-best among FBS skill players. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 14.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado’s offense has thrown for 689 passing yards in 2 games (344.5 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 273.0 passing yards per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado WRs have caught 8 touchdown passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most among Big 12 Teams
Colorado’s QBs has thrown for 689 passing yards in 2 games (344.5 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS teams. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 273.0 passing yards per game this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends
Colorado State’s QBs has thrown for 254 passing yards in 2 games (just 127.0 YPG) this season — 10th-worst among FBS teams. Colorado’s defense has allowed 238.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 254 passing yards in 2 games (just 127.0 YPG) this season — 10th-worst among FBS offenses. Colorado’s defense has allowed 238.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.0% of 50 attempts this season — 20th-worst among FBS offenses. Colorado’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.1% of attempts this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
Colorado State TEs have been targeted 45 times in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Colorado State TEs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Colorado Buffaloes Defensive Stats & Trends
Colorado has allowed opponents to catch 43 of 54 passes (80% Reception Pct) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 58%
Colorado has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 39 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 10%.
Colorado has allowed a Completion Pct of 80% (43 completions/54 attempts) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 57%
Colorado has allowed a Completion Pct of 80% (43 completions/54 attempts) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 58%
Colorado has no interceptions (54 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 36.4
Colorado State Rams Defensive Stats & Trends
Colorado State has allowed 5 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS
Colorado State has allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (315 completions/444 attempts) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 61%
Colorado State has allowed 5 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Colorado State has allowed 6 TD passes this season– T-most in FBS
Colorado State has allowed 6 TD passes this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
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