Jacksonville State vs Louisiana Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 11

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Louisiana Tech running back Marquis Crosby runs against UTSA linebacker Trey Moore (31) during the second half of an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Nov. 12, 2022, in San Antonio.
(AP Photo/Eric Gay)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 05, 2024, 3:33 PM
  • Jacksonville State is a -10 point favorite vs. Louisiana Tech
  • Jacksonville State vs. Louisiana Tech Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSSN

The Jacksonville State Gamecocks (5-3) visit Joe Aillet Stadium to take on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (3-5) on Nov. 9 in Ruston, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST.

Jacksonville State is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).

The Jacksonville State vs. Louisiana Tech Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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Jacksonville State vs. Louisiana Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Jacksonville State-10 -11055.5 -110-400
Louisiana Tech +10 -11055.5 -110+310

Jacksonville State vs Louisiana Tech Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Jacksonville State will win this game with 77.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Jacksonville State and Louisiana Tech, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Jacksonville State vs Louisiana Tech Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Jacksonville State will cover the spread with 88.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Jacksonville State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+1.45 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.45 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.85 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Jacksonville State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Jacksonville State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Tre Stewart has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tyler Huff has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.25 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Michael Pettway has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tyler Huff has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tyler Huff has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Louisiana Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Louisiana Tech Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Eli Finley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tru Edwards has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Omiri Wiggins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Marlion Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Jacksonville State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Jacksonville State is 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.65 Units / 18.64% ROI).

  • Jacksonville State is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 1.77% ROI
  • Jacksonville State is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.21% ROI
  • Jacksonville State is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.45 Units / -28% ROI

Louisiana Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisiana Tech is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.45 Units / -5.03% ROI).

  • Louisiana Tech is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -38.3% ROI
  • Louisiana Tech is 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • Louisiana Tech is 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI

Jacksonville State: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana Tech

Jacksonville State is 13-3 (.812) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– 10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .602

Jacksonville State is 7-3 (.700) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .553

Jacksonville State is 14-5 (.737) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .625

Jacksonville State is 14-4 (.778) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583

Louisiana Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Jacksonville State

Louisiana Tech is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .472

Louisiana Tech is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .433

Louisiana Tech is 1-9 (.100) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .449

Louisiana Tech is 3-13 (.188) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

Matchup Notes for Jacksonville State vs. Louisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech’s RBs has averaged just 6.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed 9.5 RAC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s RBs has averaged just 6.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed 12.5 RAC since the 2023 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech’s QBs has rushed for 41 yards on 152 carries (just 0.3 YPC) since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst among FBS teams. Jacksonville State’s defense have allowed just 3.4 YPC since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Jacksonville State’s offense has thrown for 3,785 passing yards in 21 games (just 180.2 YPG) since the 2023 season — 14th-worst among FBS offenses. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 187.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Jacksonville State’s WRs has 214 receptions in 21 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS WRs. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 10.9 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.

Jacksonville State has gained 1,562 yards on 112 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — T-16th-best among FBS skill players. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Jacksonville State Offensive Stats & Trends

Jacksonville State’s offense has thrown for 3,785 passing yards in 21 games (just 180.2 YPG) since the 2023 season — 14th-worst among FBS offenses. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 187.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Jacksonville State TEs have averaged 22.4 yards per reception (112 yards/5 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.2

Jacksonville State RBs have rushed for 7 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Jacksonville State’s WRs has 214 receptions in 21 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS WRs. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 10.9 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.

Jacksonville State has gained 1,562 yards on 112 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — T-16th-best among FBS skill players. Louisiana Tech’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana Tech WRs have averaged 29.5 yards per reception (59 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

Louisiana Tech Skill Players had no touchdowns on 24 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Louisiana Tech’s RBs has averaged just 6.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed 9.5 RAC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisiana Tech WRs had no touchdowns on 18 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

Louisiana Tech’s RBs has averaged just 6.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS RBs. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed 12.5 RAC since the 2023 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks Defensive Stats & Trends

Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 7 of 30 attempts (23%) on 3rd and long this season– worst in FBS; Average: 10%

Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 7 of 30 attempts (23%) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Jacksonville State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 44 of 345 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) this season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Jacksonville State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 33 of 220 attempts (15%) this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 10%

Jacksonville State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (25 completions/55 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 11th-best in FBS; Average: 54%

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana Tech has intercepted 8 of 554 attempts (69.2 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5

Louisiana Tech has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (5 completions/15 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 54%

Louisiana Tech has allowed a Completion Pct of just 56% (313 completions/554 attempts) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Louisiana Tech has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (5 completions/15 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%

Louisiana Tech opponents has averaged 7.5 Passing Attempts per TD (15 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.