- The N Illinois is a -11.5 point favorite vs. Ball State
- The Northern Illinois vs. Ball State Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The Northern Illinois Huskies (4-3) visit Scheumann Stadium to take on the Ball State Cardinals (2-5) on Oct. 26 in Muncie, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
N Illinois is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).
The Northern Illinois vs. Ball State Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Northern Illinois vs. Ball State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Northern Illinois | -11.5 -115 | 48.5 -110 | -500 |
| Ball State | +11.5 -105 | 48.5 -110 | +360 |
Northern Illinois vs Ball State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Northern Illinois will win this game with 79.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both N Illinois and Ball State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Northern Illinois vs Ball State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ball State will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Northern Illinois Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Northern Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+16.85 Units / 89% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+5.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Northern Illinois have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 29% ROI)
Ball State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ball State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+6.65 Units / 66% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ball State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ball State have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 42% ROI)
Northern Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
N Illinois is 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 10.46% ROI).
- Northern Illinois is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.25 Units / 74.02% ROI
- Northern Illinois is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -31.17% ROI
- Northern Illinois is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 23.38% ROI
Ball State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ball State is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- Ball State is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -28.57% ROI
- Ball State is 6-1 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI
- Ball State is 1-6 when betting the Under for -5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI
Northern Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Ball State
Northern Illinois is 7-1 (.875) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– 5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .616
Northern Illinois is 10-6 (.625) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .456
Northern Illinois is 6-6 (.500) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .382
Northern Illinois is 2-6 (.250) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .389
Ball State: Keys to the Game vs. Northern Illinois
Ball State is winless (0-8) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .335
Ball State is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .444
Ball State is 4-10 (.286) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .451
Ball State is 3-10 (.231) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .415
Matchup Notes for Northern Illinois vs. Ball State
Ball State has averaged just 9.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among FBS skill players. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State’s WRs has 170 receptions in 19 games (just 8.9 per game) since the 2023 season — 10th-worst among FBS WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 15.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State’s WRs has averaged just 10.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among FBS WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 1,298 passing yards in 7 games (just 185.4 YPG) this season — 26th-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 310.9 passing yards per game this season — worst among NonP5 defenses.
Northern Illinois’s QBs has thrown for 1,298 passing yards in 7 games (just 185.4 YPG) this season — 26th-worst among FBS teams. Ball State’s defense has allowed 310.9 passing yards per game this season — worst among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 1,298 passing yards in 7 games (just 185.4 YPG) this season — 26th-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 310.9 passing yards per game this season — worst among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 1,298 passing yards in 7 games (just 185.4 YPG) this season — 26th-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 310.9 passing yards per game this season — worst among NonP5 defenses.
Northern Illinois’s QBs has thrown for 1,298 passing yards in 7 games (just 185.4 YPG) this season — 26th-worst among FBS teams. Ball State’s defense has allowed 310.9 passing yards per game this season — worst among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 1,298 passing yards in 7 games (just 185.4 YPG) this season — 26th-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 310.9 passing yards per game this season — worst among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 3,765 passing yards in 20 games (just 188.2 YPG) since the 2023 season — T-23rd-worst among FBS offenses. Ball State’s defense has allowed 243.5 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s RBs has averaged 11.4 yards after the catch this season — 19th-best among FBS RBs. Ball State’s defense has allowed 14.7 RAC this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends
Ball State has averaged just 9.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among FBS skill players. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State’s WRs has 170 receptions in 19 games (just 8.9 per game) since the 2023 season — 10th-worst among FBS WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 15.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State’s WRs has averaged just 10.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among FBS WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Ball State TEs have averaged 8.3 receptions per game (58/7) this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3
Ball State’s WRs has 170 receptions in 19 games (just 8.9 per game) since the 2023 season — 10th-worst among FBS WRs. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 9.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends
Northern Illinois has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 26 carries (13 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.2
Northern Illinois has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 225 carries (56.2 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 20.2
Northern Illinois has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 26 carries (13 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 4.5
Northern Illinois has allowed just 165.4 receiving yards per game (3,309/20) since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 225.2
Northern Illinois has allowed first downs on 19% of pass attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 51%
Ball State Cardinals Defensive Stats & Trends
Ball State has allowed 23 TD passes this season– most in FBS
Ball State has allowed 9 TDs in close and late situations this season– most in FBS
Ball State has allowed 42 receptions for 20+ yards this season– most in FBS
Ball State has not recorded a sack (69 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.3
Ball State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 42 of 218 attempts (19%) this season– best in FBS; Average: 10%
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