- The California is a -10.5 point favorite vs. NC State
- The North Carolina State vs. California Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- TV Channel: ACCN
The North Carolina State Wolfpack (3-4) visit California Memorial Stadium to take on the California Golden Bears (3-3) on Oct. 19 in Berkeley, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
California is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The North Carolina State vs. California Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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North Carolina State vs. California Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina State | +10.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 | +290 |
| California | -10.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 | -375 |
North Carolina State vs California Prediction:
The winning team model predicts California will win this game with 77.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both NC State and California, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
North Carolina State vs California Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts California will cover the spread with 65.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on California vs NC State and all games with BetMGM
North Carolina State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- NC State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
California Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- California has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+9.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- California has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+4.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- California have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- California has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- California have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.25 Units / 27% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for North Carolina State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best North Carolina State Player Prop Bets Today
- Kevin Concepcion has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan Waters has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Grayson McCall has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Grayson McCall has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for California players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best California Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Nyziah Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jack Endries has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
North Carolina State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
NC State is 0-6 against the spread this college football season (-6.6 Units / -85.16% ROI).
- North Carolina State is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -13.16% ROI
- North Carolina State is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.65 Units / 8.39% ROI
- North Carolina State is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.3% ROI
California Against the Spread (ATS) Record
California is 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.85 Units / 28.24% ROI).
- California is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 8.59% ROI
- California is 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
- California is 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
North Carolina State: Keys to the Game vs. California
North Carolina State is 7-3 (.700) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .506
North Carolina State is 6-5 (.545) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .438
North Carolina State is 8-3 (.727) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .633
North Carolina State was 7-1 (.875) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .644
California: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina State
California is winless (0-8) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .307
California is 3-10 (.231) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .451
California is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .383
California is 4-10 (.286) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .419
Matchup Notes for North Carolina State vs. California
California’s TEs has 30 receptions in 6 games (5.0 per game) this season — 5th-best among ACC TEs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 20.1 receptions per game this season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
California has just 1.3 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-2nd-worst among ACC skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.
California’s WRs has just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-2nd-worst among ACC WRs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.
North Carolina State’s WRs has gained 1,032 yards on 95 receptions (just 10.9 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among ACC WRs. California’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.
North Carolina State’s TEs has gained 370 yards on 24 receptions (15.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. California’s defense has allowed just 7.4 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina State has gained 1,641 yards on 143 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) this season — 3rd-worst among ACC skill players. California’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.
North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina State RBs have averaged 9.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (427 yards / 47 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6
North Carolina State Skill Players averaged 25.3 yards per reception (253 yards/10 catches) with 7-10 yards to go last week– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1
North Carolina State Skill Players averaged 19.4 yards per reception (329 yards/17 catches) last week– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.0
North Carolina State TEs have 9 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
North Carolina State Skill Players have averaged 19.8 yards per reception (476 yards/24 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.4
California Offensive Stats & Trends
California’s TEs has 30 receptions in 6 games (5.0 per game) this season — 5th-best among ACC TEs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 20.1 receptions per game this season — 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
California has just 1.3 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-2nd-worst among ACC skill players. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.
California’s WRs has just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-2nd-worst among ACC WRs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.
California have been sacked on 20% of pass attempts (7/35) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 6%
California’s WRs has just 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-2nd-worst among ACC WRs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game this season — 24th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Carolina State Wolfpack Defensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina State has allowed 9 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
North Carolina State had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 37.1
North Carolina State has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 15 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
North Carolina State has tackled opponents for a loss on 15 of 77 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 24th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
North Carolina State has allowed 13 TD passes this season– 4th-most among Power Conference Teams
California Golden Bears Defensive Stats & Trends
California has sacked opposing QBs just once on 87 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0
California has 13 interceptions this season– T-most in FBS
California has sacked opposing QBs just once on 87 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8
California has 13 interceptions this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams
California has averaged 2.17 interceptions per game (13/6) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.91
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