Stanford vs Clemson Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 5

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Clemson quarterback Cade Klubnik (2) runs with the ball during an NCAA college football game against Louisiana Tech Saturday, Sept. 17, 2022, in Clemson, S.C. (AP Photo/Jacob Kupferman)
(AP Photo/Jacob Kupferman)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 25, 2024, 2:58 PM
  • The Clemson is a -21.5 point favorite vs. Stanford
  • The Stanford vs. Clemson Total(Over/Under): 57.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

The Stanford Cardinal (2-1) visit Memorial Stadium to take on the Clemson Tigers (2-1) on Sep. 28 in Clemson, SC. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

Clemson is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -21.5 (-110).

The Stanford vs. Clemson Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

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Stanford vs. Clemson Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Stanford+21.5 -11057.5 -110+1000
Clemson -21.5 -11057.5 -110-2000

Stanford vs Clemson Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Clemson will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Stanford and Clemson, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Stanford vs Clemson Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Stanford will cover the spread with 75.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Stanford has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+10.20 Units / 255% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 10 games (+3.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Stanford have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Stanford have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Clemson have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Clemson have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Stanford players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Stanford Player Prop Bets Today

  • Elic Ayomanor has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Sam Roush has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Tiger Bachmeier has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Ashton Daniels has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.45 Units / 145% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Clemson players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Clemson Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Cade Klubnik has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.40 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Cade Klubnik has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Jake Briningstool has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Phil Mafah has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Cade Klubnik has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Stanford Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Stanford is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

Clemson Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Clemson is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

Stanford: Keys to the Game vs. Clemson

Stanford is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .490

Stanford is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

Stanford is 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .518

Stanford is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .427

Clemson: Keys to the Game vs. Stanford

Clemson is 9-1 (.900) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .762

Clemson is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .632

Clemson is 10-4 (.714) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .619

Clemson is 8-2 (.800) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-11th-best in FBS; Average: .457

Matchup Notes for Stanford vs. Clemson

Clemson’s QBs has thrown for 856 passing yards in 3 games (285.3 YPG) this season — 24th-best among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense has allowed 298.7 passing yards per game this season — worst among ACC defenses.

Clemson’s offense has thrown for 856 passing yards in 3 games (285.3 YPG) this season — 25th-best among FBS offenses. Stanford’s defense has allowed 298.7 passing yards per game this season — worst among ACC defenses.

Clemson’s QBs has thrown for 856 passing yards in 3 games (285.3 YPG) this season — 24th-best among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense has allowed 298.7 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Stanford’s RBs have 46.0 receiving yards per game this season — 12th-best among FBS RBs. Clemson’s defense has allowed 249.7 receiving yards per game this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.

Stanford has 67 receptions in 3 games (22.3 per game) this season — 33rd-best among FBS skill players. Clemson’s defense has allowed 20.3 receptions per game this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Stanford has 67 receptions in 3 games (22.3 per game) this season — 33rd-best among FBS skill players. Clemson’s defense has allowed 20.3 receptions per game this season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Stanford Offensive Stats & Trends

Stanford RBs have averaged 55.1 rushing yards per game (826/15) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 126.7

Stanford RBs have averaged 12.1 carries per game (181 carries / 15 games) since the 2023 season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 25.0

Stanford RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 7 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

Stanford TEs have averaged a touchdown every 27.5 receptions (55 Rec/2 TDs) since the 2023 season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.0

Stanford Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 17.7 receptions (301 Rec/17 TDs) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.9

Clemson Offensive Stats & Trends

Clemson WRs have no touchdowns on 23 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.7

Clemson’s QBs has thrown for 856 passing yards in 3 games (285.3 YPG) this season — 24th-best among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense has allowed 298.7 passing yards per game this season — worst among ACC defenses.

Clemson Skill Players have averaged just 8.8 yards per reception (538 yards/61 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.4

Clemson’s offense has thrown for 856 passing yards in 3 games (285.3 YPG) this season — 25th-best among FBS offenses. Stanford’s defense has allowed 298.7 passing yards per game this season — worst among ACC defenses.

Clemson WRs have no touchdowns on 23 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

Stanford Cardinal Defensive Stats & Trends

Stanford has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 5 rushing attempts (40% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Stanford has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 5 rushing attempts (40% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Stanford has allowed 298.1 Passing Yards per game (4,472/15) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 215.2

Stanford has tackled opponents for a loss on 20 of 71 rushing attempts (28% TFL%) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 17%.

Stanford has allowed 37 TD passes since the 2023 season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Clemson Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Clemson has allowed 8.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (320 yards / 36 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.3

Clemson has allowed a Completion Pct of just 54% (273 completions/507 attempts) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%

Clemson has allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (129 completions/243 attempts) in the 1st half since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 62%

Clemson has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 11 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-40th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Clemson has allowed 8.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (320 yards / 36 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 5.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.