Wisconsin vs Rutgers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

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Rutgers head coach Greg Schiano watches from the sideline during the second half of a NCAA college football game against Ohio State, Saturday, Nov. 4, 2023, in Piscataway, N.J. Ohio State won 35-16. (AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 11, 2024, 1:10 PM
  • The Rutgers is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Wisconsin
  • The Wisconsin vs. Rutgers Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
  • TV Channel: BTN

The Wisconsin Badgers (3-2) visit SHI Stadium to take on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (4-1) on Oct. 12 in Piscataway, NJ. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Rutgers is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Wisconsin vs. Rutgers Over/Under is 39.5 total points.

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Wisconsin vs. Rutgers Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Wisconsin+2.5 -10539.5 -105+120
Rutgers -2.5 -11539.5 -115-145

Wisconsin vs Rutgers Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Rutgers will win this game with 57.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Wisconsin and Rutgers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Wisconsin vs Rutgers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Rutgers will cover the spread with 60.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Rutgers have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.00 Units / 3% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Wisconsin players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Wisconsin Player Prop Bets Today

  • Will Pauling has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Tyler Van Dyke has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.35 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Jackson Acker has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Braedyn Locke has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Bryson Green has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wisconsin is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.3 Units / -75% ROI).

  • Wisconsin is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Wisconsin is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -26.97% ROI
  • Wisconsin is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.95 Units / 21.84% ROI

Rutgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rutgers is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Rutgers is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Rutgers is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Rutgers is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Rutgers

Wisconsin is winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .309

Wisconsin is 2-5 (.286) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .460

Wisconsin is winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .284

Wisconsin is 10-3 (.769) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .644

Rutgers: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin

Rutgers is 9-1 (.900) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .760

Rutgers is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .443

Rutgers is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .390

Rutgers is 10-2 (.833) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .683

Matchup Notes for Wisconsin vs. Rutgers

Rutgers’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.5% of 133 attempts this season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Wisconsin’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.2% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Rutgers’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.5% of 133 attempts this season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Wisconsin’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.2% of attempts this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s QBs has thrown for 2,735 passing yards in 18 games (just 151.9 YPG) since the 2023 season — 6th-worst among FBS teams. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 201.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 31st-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin has averaged just 10.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-13th-worst among FBS skill players. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin has averaged just 10.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-13th-worst among FBS skill players. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin’s WRs has gained 3,180 yards on 258 receptions (just 12.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2023 season — 32nd-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin has averaged just 10.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-13th-worst among FBS skill players. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC since the 2023 season — T-4th-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin has averaged just 10.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-13th-worst among FBS skill players. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC since the 2023 season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 19.4 receptions (368 Rec/19 TDs) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.0

Wisconsin Skill Players have just one touchdown on 7 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1

Wisconsin WRs have averaged a touchdown every 3.3 receptions (20 Rec/6 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 1.8

Rutgers Offensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.5% of 133 attempts this season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Wisconsin’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.2% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Rutgers’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.5% of 133 attempts this season — 22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Wisconsin’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.2% of attempts this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s QBs has thrown for 2,735 passing yards in 18 games (just 151.9 YPG) since the 2023 season — 6th-worst among FBS teams. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 201.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 31st-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers has averaged 12.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 4th-best among Big Ten WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin Badgers Defensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2

Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Wisconsin has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 16 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 6%.

Wisconsin has allowed 2.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (89 yards / 36 touches) in the Red Zone this season– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 3.9

Wisconsin’s opponents has not attempted a two-point conversion (47 PATs) since the 2023 season– lowest in the Big Ten; Average: 8%

Rutgers Scarlet Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 30 of 159 carries (19%) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 11%

Rutgers has tackled opponents for a loss on just 9 of 105 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Rutgers did not record a sack (37 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.2

Rutgers has allowed first downs on 15% of pass attempts on 3rd down this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 34%

Rutgers opponents has averaged 50.3 Passing Attempts per TD (151 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– 12th-best in FBS; Average: 21.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.