Angels vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 3

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 03, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Astros (50-27) are -250 favorites vs the Angels (37-43)
  • Angels starting pitcher: José Suarez (1-2), 4.36 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez (8-3), 2.65 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW

The Los Angeles Angels (+195) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Sunday, July 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Angels vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Angels are 37-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 41-36 ATS.

Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -105O 7.5 -105+195
Astros -1.5 -115U 7.5 -115-250

Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Angels and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jared Walsh has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+7.35 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.95 Units / 68% ROI)

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+13.40 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+12.05 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+11.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 34 games at home (+10.75 Units / 30% ROI)

Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +400 0.5 -700
Jose Altuve 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Martin Maldonado 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 +333 0.5 -600

Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jeremy Pena 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Jose Altuve 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Kyle Tucker 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Martin Maldonado 0.5 +100 0.5 -140
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Jose Altuve 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
Martin Maldonado 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Framber Valdez 6.5 +120 6.5 -165
Jose Suarez 3.5 -150 3.5 +105
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 38 of their last 67 games (+9.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 64 games (+20.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games (+18.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 61 games (+16.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 58 games (+12.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games at home (+10.00 Units / 79% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 36-44 against the Run Line (-10.1 Units / -10.55% ROI).

  • 37-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.8 Units / -16.23% ROI
  • 36-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.1 Units / -9.14% ROI
  • 40-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 0.68% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 41-36 against the Run Line (+8.1 Units / 9.13% ROI).

  • 50-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.75 Units / 9.9% ROI
  • 26-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.7 Units / -29.35% ROI
  • 47-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.4 Units / 21.53% ROI

Jose Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of .627 (64 Total Bases / 102 ABs) on inside fastballs since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .423 — third Percentile.

Jose Suarez has thrown his curveball 26% of the time (415/1,572) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .353 (36-for-102) against Jose Suarez’s inside fastball since the start of last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .258 — fourth Percentile.

Jose Suarez has thrown his changeup 28% of the time (623/2,241) since the start of last season — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 91st Percentile.

Framber Valdez: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 70% (161/231) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (180/267) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (66/95) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 71% (140/198) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Angels are just 2-4 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 32-7 (.821) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.

The Angels are just 3-23 (.115) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.

The Angels are just 3-5 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Astros are 28-3 (.903) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Astros are 47-7 (.870) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Astros are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are just 3-20 (.130) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.

Angels hitters have 559 strikeouts in 2,096 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Angels are batting just .151 on the road over the last 14 days (3 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .301 (1,082 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.

The Angels are batting just .215 on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Astros hitters have just 533 strikeouts in 2,892 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros hitters have just 1,578 strikeouts in 7,837 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have a groundball batting average of just .188 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% over the last 14 days (12 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Angels pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% over the past seven days (6 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.52 (307.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.08 (108.1 IP) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Astros vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Astros): Leg, D15
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Austin Warren (Angels): Triceps, D15
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
  • Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.