- The Astros (50-27) are -250 favorites vs the Angels (37-43)
- Angels starting pitcher: José Suarez (1-2), 4.36 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez (8-3), 2.65 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Los Angeles Angels (+195) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Sunday, July 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Angels vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 37-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 41-36 ATS.
Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -105 | O 7.5 -105 | +195 |
| Astros | -1.5 -115 | U 7.5 -115 | -250 |
Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jared Walsh has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+7.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.95 Units / 68% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+13.40 Units / 55% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+12.05 Units / 60% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+11.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 34 games at home (+10.75 Units / 30% ROI)
Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -140 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -165 |
| Jose Suarez | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 38 of their last 67 games (+9.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 19% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 64 games (+20.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games (+18.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 61 games (+16.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 58 games (+12.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games at home (+10.00 Units / 79% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 36-44 against the Run Line (-10.1 Units / -10.55% ROI).
- 37-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.8 Units / -16.23% ROI
- 36-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.1 Units / -9.14% ROI
- 40-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 0.68% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 41-36 against the Run Line (+8.1 Units / 9.13% ROI).
- 50-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.75 Units / 9.9% ROI
- 26-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.7 Units / -29.35% ROI
- 47-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.4 Units / 21.53% ROI
José Suarez: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of .627 (64 Total Bases / 102 ABs) on inside fastballs since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .423 — third Percentile.
Jose Suarez has thrown his curveball 26% of the time (415/1,572) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .353 (36-for-102) against Jose Suarez’s inside fastball since the start of last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .258 — fourth Percentile.
Jose Suarez has thrown his changeup 28% of the time (623/2,241) since the start of last season — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 91st Percentile.
Framber Valdez: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 70% (161/231) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (180/267) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (66/95) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 71% (140/198) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Angels are just 2-4 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 32-7 (.821) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Angels are just 3-23 (.115) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
The Angels are just 3-5 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Astros are 28-3 (.903) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Astros are 47-7 (.870) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Astros are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 3-20 (.130) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 559 strikeouts in 2,096 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Angels are batting just .151 on the road over the last 14 days (3 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .301 (1,082 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Angels are batting just .215 on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 533 strikeouts in 2,892 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros hitters have just 1,578 strikeouts in 7,837 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have a groundball batting average of just .188 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% over the last 14 days (12 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Angels pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% over the past seven days (6 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.52 (307.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.08 (108.1 IP) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Jacob Odorizzi (Astros): Leg, D15
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Triceps, D15
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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