- The Angels are -105 favorites vs the Marlins
- Angels / Marlins TV Channel: BSFL | BSW
The Los Angeles Angels (-105) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-115) on Monday, April 1, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Angels are 1-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 0-4 ATS.
Angels vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 +100 | -105 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -120 | -115 |
Angels vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 43 games (+15.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+13.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.70 Units / 67% ROI)
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.25 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+13.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 50 games (+11.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+10.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.72 Units / 28% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 games at home (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.64 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+4.19 Units / 5% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 1-2 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -38.55% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -26.67% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 24.24% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -39.39% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 0-4 against the Run Line (-4.7 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -100% ROI
- 4-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 91.95% ROI
- 0-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -100% ROI
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Angels were just 30-23 (.566) when they had 10 or more hits in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Angels were just 58-11 (.841) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Angels are just 56-37 (.602) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Angels are just 123-18 (.872) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Marlins are 13-145 (.082) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Marlins are 94-13 (.879) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Marlins are just 104-24 (.812) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .870.
The Marlins were 54-8 (.871) when they scored 5 or more runs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .781.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .265 (940 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .615 (940 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
The Angels are batting just .246 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Angels are batting just .221 with two outs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have grounded into 285 double plays in 2,163 opportunities (13%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Marlins hitters have drawn 188 walks in 2,769 PA’s (7%) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 274 of 2,889 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels pitchers walked 636 of 6,305 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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