Astros vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 20

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 20, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Braves (74-47) are -160 favorites vs the Astros (77-44)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier (7-8), 2.96 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider (7-4), 3.04 ERA
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Houston Astros (+135) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-160) on Saturday, August 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Astros vs Braves Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 76-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 63-57 ATS.

Astros vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros+1.5 -155O 7.5 -120+135
Braves -1.5 +125U 7.5 +100-160

Astros vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s matchup with 66.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Braves vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.70 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+12.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+11.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+10.55 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.45 Units / 48% ROI)

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 63 of his last 109 games (+17.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 41 games at home (+17.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 63 of his last 107 games (+14.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 51 of his last 71 games (+14.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.50 Units / 28% ROI)

Braves vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Matt Olson 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Michael Harris 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Braves vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Dansby Swanson 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Eddie Rosario 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Matt Olson 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Michael Harris 0.5 -160 0.5 +110

Braves vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 +120 0.5 -165
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Matt Olson 0.5 +115 0.5 -165
Michael Harris 0.5 +210 0.5 -350

Braves vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Strider 7.5 +105 7.5 -150
Cristian Javier 6.5 -120 6.5 -115
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 70 of their last 108 games (+25.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 65 games (+15.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 95 games (+21.32 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+9.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 53 of their last 88 games (+3.15 Units / 2% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 61-59 against the Run Line (+2.7 Units / 1.93% ROI).

  • 76-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.9 Units / 2.4% ROI
  • 44-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.45 Units / -23.99% ROI
  • 70-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.4 Units / 16.05% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 63-57 against the Run Line (-0.35 Units / -0.23% ROI).

  • 73-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.35 Units / 3.79% ROI
  • 60-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units / 2.07% ROI
  • 52-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.95 Units / -10.6% ROI

Cristian Javier has thrown elevated pitches 54% of the time (488/906) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 38% of Cristian Javier’s non-fastballs (551/1,457) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.

Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (432/852) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (62/245) against Cristian Javier this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Spencer Strider: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (50/121) against Spencer Strider on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 40% (156/388) against Spencer Strider this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.

Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 37% (142 SO in 382 PAs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 39% (99 SO in 251 PAs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Astros are 32-4 (.889) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Astros are 40-6 (.870) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

The Astros are 39-18 (.684) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Astros are 10-4 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Braves are 30-3 (.909) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .666.

The Braves are 65-14 (.823) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Braves are 10-2 (.833) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 33-24 (.579) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.

Astros hitters have just 623 strikeouts in 3,460 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Astros are batting .189 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Braves hitters are slugging .679 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .557.

Braves hitters are slugging .500 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .390.

Braves hitters are slugging .450 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Braves hitters are slugging .445 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.84 (516.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.49 (2516.0 IP) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Braves vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Orlando Arcia (Braves): Hamstring, D10
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D15
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Chadwick Tromp (Braves): Quad, D10
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Illness, D10
  • Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, D10
  • Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Illness, Day-to-Day
  • Mauricio Dubón (Astros): Elbow, Day-to-Day

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Braves vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.