Astros vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 29

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 29, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The (45-28) are favorites vs the (45-28)
  • Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander (9-3), 2.21 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker (6-2), 3.03 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Houston Astros () visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets () on Wednesday, June 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Astros vs Mets Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 46-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 42-33 ATS.

Astros vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros O
Mets U

Astros vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 66.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mets vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+7.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+6.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.15 Units / 40% ROI)

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 27 games at home (+10.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+6.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+6.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+6.35 Units / 91% ROI)

Mets vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Jeff McNeil 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Peter Alonso 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Starling Marte 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000

Mets vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Francisco Lindor 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Jeff McNeil 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Peter Alonso 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Starling Marte 0.5 -250 0.5 +170

Mets vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 +260 0.5 -450
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Jeff McNeil 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Peter Alonso 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Starling Marte 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Mets vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Taijuan Walker 4.5 +125 4.5 -175
Justin Verlander 5.5 -110 5.5 -130
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 71 games (+18.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 60 games (+18.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 57 games (+12.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 54 games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 75 games (+13.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+11.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 75 games (+9.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.75 Units / 31% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 37-36 against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 3.98% ROI).

  • 46-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.5 Units / 6.64% ROI
  • 24-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.55 Units / -30.78% ROI
  • 45-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.55 Units / 22.89% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 42-33 against the Run Line (+9.2 Units / 10.12% ROI).

  • 47-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.5 Units / 12.99% ROI
  • 40-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.4 Units / 6.44% ROI
  • 31-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.3 Units / -15.1% ROI

Justin Verlander has allowed 6 home runs on the first pitch of at-bats this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .232 (151 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .300 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .141 (11-for-78) against Justin Verlander’s elevated fastball this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .246 (33-for-134) against Justin Verlander in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .318 — 100th Percentile.

Taijuan Walker: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .438 (14-for-32) against Taijuan Walker on inside fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .262 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .438 (14-for-32) against Taijuan Walker’s inside fastball this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .262 — third Percentile.

Taijuan Walker has not walked any of the 38 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .516 (16-for-31) against Taijuan Walker on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .334 — second Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Astros are 43-7 (.860) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Astros are 26-3 (.897) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Astros are 26-16 (.619) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .487.

The Astros are 5-3 (.625) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Mets are 35-4 (.897) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Mets are 23-17 (.575) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .487.

The Mets are just 5-16 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.

The Mets are 20-4 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

Astros hitters have just 523 strikeouts in 2,861 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have a groundball batting average of just .190 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Astros hitters have just 653 strikeouts in 3,521 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Mets have scored first in 82% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of .287 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .216.

Mets hitters have 178 extra-base hits out of 579 total hits (just 31%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .340 (1,309 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 394.1 feet — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.67 (280.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.30 (365.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 18% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Mets pitchers have walked 134 of 2,050 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mets vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob deGrom (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Travis Jankowski (Mets): Hand, D10
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Maxwell Scherzer (Mets): Oblique, D15
  • Trevor May (Mets): Triceps, D60
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Jeremy Peña (Astros): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Astros): Leg, D15
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.