Astros vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 31

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 31, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The are -130 favorites vs the Phillies
  • Astros starting pitcher: Lance McCullers Jr., 2.45 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard, 1.68 ERA
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Houston Astros (-130) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+110) on Monday, October 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:03pm EDT in Philadelphia for this World Series game.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB postseason matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+130).

The Astros vs Phillies Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 114-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 91-84 ATS.

Astros vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros-1.5 +130O 8 -115-130
Phillies +1.5 -155U 8 -105+110

Astros vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s World Series Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s World Series matchup with 53.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Phillies vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today, World Series

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+13.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 35 of his last 64 games (+10.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 away games (+10.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.75 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.75 Units / 58% ROI)

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today, World Series

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Over in 38 of his last 61 games at home (+14.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+13.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+12.20 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+11.35 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 39 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)

Phillies vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Brandon Marsh 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Bryce Harper 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
Bryson Stott 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000

Phillies vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -105 0.5 -135
Bryce Harper 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Bryson Stott 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 -250 0.5 +170

Phillies vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Bohm 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Brandon Marsh 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Bryce Harper 0.5 +145 0.5 -210
Bryson Stott 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 +180 0.5 -275

Phillies vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lance McCullers Jr. 5.5 -105 5.5 -135
Noah Syndergaard 2.5 +110 2.5 -155
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 100 of their last 158 games (+30.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 96 of their last 169 games (+27.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 107 of their last 155 games (+26.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 152 games (+17.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+7.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 125 games (+18.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 67 of their last 117 games (+12.13 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+12.08 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 59 games at home (+10.15 Units / 14% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 91-80 against the Run Line (+13.2 Units / 6.53% ROI).

  • 114-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +22 Units / 7.36% ROI
  • 63-97 when betting on the total runs Over for -42.45 Units / -22.65% ROI
  • 97-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +27.2 Units / 14.37% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 91-84 against the Run Line (+1.75 Units / 0.8% ROI).

  • 97-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 2.06% ROI
  • 89-79 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 1.21% ROI
  • 79-89 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.6 Units / -9.17% ROI

Lance McCullers has thrown his curveball 49% of the time (869/1,761) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total CB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Lance McCullers has thrown off-speed pitches 80% of the time (1,403/1,761) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total NonFB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (18/157) against Lance McCullers with runners in scoring position since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (102/536) against Lance McCullers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Noah Syndergaard has allowed 30 stolen bases this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 5 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (3/34) against Noah Syndergaard this month (1 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 25 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Astros are 47-5 (.904) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

The Astros are 51-30 (.630) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .468.

The Astros are 65-4 (.942) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .805.

The Astros are 43-15 (.741) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Phillies are 14-57 (.197) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Phillies are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 73-25 (.745) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Phillies are 11-58 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

Astros hitters have just 701 strikeouts in 3,931 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 831 strikeouts in 4,591 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 321 strikeouts in 1,850 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of .771 (1,760 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Phillies are batting .266 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of .338 (1,760 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The Phillies are batting .176 on pitches out of the zone this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .157.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 392.8 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 35% this month (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 34% against Astros pitchers this month (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (3,972 balls in play) — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (3,972 batted balls) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.

Phillies vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
  • Mark Appel (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Kent Emanuel (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Símon Muzziotti (Phillies): Knee, D60
  • Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Corey Knebel (Phillies): Lat, D60
  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.