- The – (37-23) are favorites vs the – (37-23)
- Astros starting pitcher: José Urquidy (5-3), 5.04 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning (1-4), 4.40 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Houston Astros () visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers () on Tuesday, June 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Astros vs Rangers Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 37-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 36-24 ATS.
Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | O | ||
| Rangers | U |
Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.35 Units / 58% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+8.45 Units / 60% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games (+7.00 Units / 140% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+5.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+5.55 Units / 79% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+5.45 Units / 15% ROI)
Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -500 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Rangers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
Rangers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Dunning | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +115 |
| Jose Urquidy | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 59 games (+19.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 48 games (+12.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games (+6.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 48 games (+3.00 Units / 4% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 49 games (+16.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+9.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 47 games (+5.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+4.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 40 games (+3.58 Units / 8% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 29-32 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -2.64% ROI).
- 37-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 2.33% ROI
- 19-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.05 Units / -36.03% ROI
- 40-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.25 Units / 28.48% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 36-24 against the Run Line (+8.15 Units / 10.26% ROI).
- 29-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 3.16% ROI
- 25-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -7.06% ROI
- 27-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -0.61% ROI
José Urquidy: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .417 (30 GB hits out of 72 GBs) against Jose Urquidy this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .229 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .571 (16-for-28) against Jose Urquidy on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .333 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of .338 (44/130) against Jose Urquidy when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: .209 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of .412 (21/51) against Jose Urquidy when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .209 — first Percentile.
Dane Dunning: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (63/105) against Dane Dunning this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Dane Dunning has thrown low pitches 69% of the time (548/800) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (26/75) against Dane Dunning on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 93rd Percentile.
Dane Dunning has allowed a slugging percentage of .472 (42 Total Bases / 89 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — fourth Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Astros are 34-7 (.829) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Astros are 21-1 (.955) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Astros are 12-3 (.800) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Astros are 16-10 (.615) at home this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rangers are just 21-5 (.808) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.
The Rangers are 16-2 (.889) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Rangers are 3-23 (.115) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Rangers are just 19-3 (.864) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 502 strikeouts in 2,770 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .269 (4,421 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros hitters have just 151 strikeouts in 887 PA’s (17%) against left-handed relievers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have drawn 176 walks in 2,597 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (2,597 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .676 (2,597 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (3,282 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.60 (235.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.83.
Astros pitchers have walked 11 of 106 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 394.0 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 56 of 537 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 61% of opposing batters this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- José Leclerc (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D10
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
- Josh H. Smith (Rangers): Shoulder, D10
- Steele Walker (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
- Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): COVID-19, D15
- Brett Martin (Rangers): COVID-19, D15
- Jeremy Peña (Astros): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Taylor Jones (Astros): Back, D60
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jacob Odorizzi (Astros): Leg, D15
- Jacob Meyers (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Left elbow, D15
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