Astros vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 14, 2022, 11:21 AM
  • The (37-23) are favorites vs the (37-23)
  • Astros starting pitcher: José Urquidy (5-3), 5.04 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning (1-4), 4.40 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSW

The Houston Astros () visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers () on Tuesday, June 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Astros vs Rangers Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 37-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 36-24 ATS.

Astros vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Astros O
Rangers U

Astros vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rangers vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.35 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+8.45 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 35% ROI)

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games (+7.00 Units / 140% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+5.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+5.55 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+5.45 Units / 15% ROI)

Rangers vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +325 0.5 -500
Brad Miller 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Corey Seager 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 +400 0.5 -700
Jonah Heim 0.5 +350 0.5 -650

Rangers vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Brad Miller 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Corey Seager 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Jonah Heim 0.5 -190 0.5 +130

Rangers vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Brad Miller 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Corey Seager 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Jonah Heim 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Rangers vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dane Dunning 3.5 -160 3.5 +115
Jose Urquidy 4.5 -125 4.5 -110
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 59 games (+19.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 48 games (+12.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games (+6.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 48 games (+3.00 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 49 games (+16.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+9.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 47 games (+5.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+4.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 40 games (+3.58 Units / 8% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 29-32 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -2.64% ROI).

  • 37-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 2.33% ROI
  • 19-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.05 Units / -36.03% ROI
  • 40-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.25 Units / 28.48% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 36-24 against the Run Line (+8.15 Units / 10.26% ROI).

  • 29-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 3.16% ROI
  • 25-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -7.06% ROI
  • 27-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -0.61% ROI

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .417 (30 GB hits out of 72 GBs) against Jose Urquidy this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .229 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .571 (16-for-28) against Jose Urquidy on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .333 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of .338 (44/130) against Jose Urquidy when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: .209 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of .412 (21/51) against Jose Urquidy when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .209 — first Percentile.

Dane Dunning: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (63/105) against Dane Dunning this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Dane Dunning has thrown low pitches 69% of the time (548/800) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (26/75) against Dane Dunning on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 93rd Percentile.

Dane Dunning has allowed a slugging percentage of .472 (42 Total Bases / 89 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — fourth Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Astros are 34-7 (.829) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Astros are 21-1 (.955) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Astros are 12-3 (.800) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Astros are 16-10 (.615) at home this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Rangers are just 21-5 (.808) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.

The Rangers are 16-2 (.889) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Rangers are 3-23 (.115) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .074.

The Rangers are just 19-3 (.864) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.

Astros hitters have just 502 strikeouts in 2,770 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .269 (4,421 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros hitters have just 151 strikeouts in 887 PA’s (17%) against left-handed relievers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Rangers hitters have drawn 176 walks in 2,597 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (2,597 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .676 (2,597 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (3,282 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.60 (235.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.83.

Astros pitchers have walked 11 of 106 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 394.0 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9

Rangers pitchers have walked 56 of 537 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 61% of opposing batters this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • José Leclerc (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D10
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
  • Josh H. Smith (Rangers): Shoulder, D10
  • Steele Walker (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
  • Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Glenn Otto (Rangers): COVID-19, D15
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): COVID-19, D15
  • Jeremy Peña (Astros): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Taylor Jones (Astros): Back, D60
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Astros): Leg, D15
  • Jacob Meyers (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Left elbow, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.