- The Rays are -155 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros starting pitcher: José Urquidy
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Houston Astros (+130) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-155) on Monday, April 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Astros vs Rays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 12-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 16-6 ATS.
Astros vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -115 | +130 |
| Rays | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -105 | -155 |
Astros vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 71.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Singles Over in his last 17 games (+17.10 Units / 70% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+13.20 Units / 102% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.30 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+10.15 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+10.60 Units / 88% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.60 Units / 73% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.25 Units / 116% ROI)
- Harold Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.35 Units / 104% ROI)
Rays vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Rays vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Rays vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Rays vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
| Jose Urquidy | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.50 Units / 49% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 22 games (+15.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+12.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.40 Units / 32% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 13-9 against the Run Line (+2.85 Units / 9.41% ROI).
- 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -13.39% ROI
- 14-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.35 Units / 26.19% ROI
- 7-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.25 Units / -34.16% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 16-6 against the Run Line (+10.9 Units / 42.25% ROI).
- 19-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.2 Units / 35.81% ROI
- 12-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.25 Units / 17.67% ROI
- 7-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.5 Units / -26.69% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Urquidy has a strike rate of 69% (929/1,344) vs left-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Jose Urquidy has thrown elevated pitches 38% of the time (361/940) with two-strikes since last season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .310 (13-for-42) against Jose Urquidy when ahead in the count this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .199 — third Percentile.
Jose Urquidy has allowed a slugging percentage of .603 (70 Total Bases / 116 ABs) on fastballs away since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .373 — second Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taj Bradley has a strikeout rate of 42% (17 SO in 40 PAs) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .571 (4 GB hits out of 7 GBs) against Taj Bradley this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .241 — first Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed an OPS of just .513 (40 PA’s) this season — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .739 — 93rd Percentile.
Taj Bradley had a strikeout rate of 42% (17/40) over the last 30 days of the regular season (2 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Astros are 36-19 (.655) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
The Astros are 41-60 (.406) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .292.
The Astros are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .037.
The Astros are 12-2 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rays are 2-3 (.400) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .037.
The Rays are 13-0 (1.000) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Rays are 2-3 (.400) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .122.
The Rays are 4-1 (.800) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 357 strikeouts in 2,079 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 737 strikeouts in 4,160 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (946/6,914 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
The Astros have scored 54 runs in innings 7-9 this season — most in MLB.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging 1.035 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Rays hitters are slugging .554 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Rays hitters are slugging .360 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rays hitters are slugging .554 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have walked 64 of 828 batters (8%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Astros have allowed 3.29 runs per game (296/90) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 453 of 6,720 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .288 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Rays pitchers have walked 92 of 1,639 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 185 of 3,101 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jose Siri (Rays): Hamstring, D10
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Ryan Thompson (Rays): Lat, D15
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15
- Chas McCormick (Astros): Eye, Day-to-Day
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