- The Rays are -120 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown
- Rays starting pitcher: Calvin Faucher
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Houston Astros (+100) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-120) on Wednesday, April 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Astros vs Rays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 13-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 17-7 ATS.
Astros vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -115 | +100 |
| Rays | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -105 | -120 |
Astros vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 60.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+16.00 Units / 107% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+12.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.30 Units / 56% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.05 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+13.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.60 Units / 71% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+9.60 Units / 74% ROI)
- Harold Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+9.35 Units / 134% ROI)
Rays vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Rays vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Rays vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
Rays vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Brown | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 28% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 24 games (+14.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+12.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+11.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.05 Units / 28% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 14-10 against the Run Line (+2.5 Units / 7.56% ROI).
- 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -11.1% ROI
- 15-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.2 Units / 23.44% ROI
- 8-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.4 Units / -31.88% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 17-7 against the Run Line (+11.05 Units / 39.75% ROI).
- 20-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.5 Units / 31.49% ROI
- 13-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.1 Units / 15.62% ROI
- 8-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.65 Units / -25.05% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Brown has a strikeout rate of 46% (15 SO in 33 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 85th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has not allowed a HR in any of his last six starts dating back to September 5th, 2022 — the longest active streak is 12.
Hunter Brown has allowed a slugging percentage of just .167 (7 Total Bases / 42 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .388 — 93rd Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .143 (6-for-42) against Hunter Brown this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 88th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Calvin Faucher has not struck out any hitters in 19 PA’s vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .444 (8-for-18) against Calvin Faucher this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .220 — first Percentile.
Calvin Faucher has not walked any of the 19 batters that he has faced vs left-handed batters this season — tied for best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Calvin Faucher has allowed a slugging percentage of .519 (14 Total Bases / 27 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .232 — sixth Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Astros are 39-20 (.661) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Astros are 57-34 (.626) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Astros are 11-10 (.524) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Astros are 41-61 (.402) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .291.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Rays are 2-4 (.333) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .040.
The Rays are 2-4 (.333) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Rays are 20-4 (.833) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Rays are 12-109 (.099) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 737 strikeouts in 4,173 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 36 strikeouts in 242 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 357 strikeouts in 2,092 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros are batting .187 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .554 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Rays hitters are slugging 1.022 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .879 (923 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Rays hitters are slugging .540 with bases empty this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
The Astros have allowed 3.30 runs per game (304/92) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 93 of 1,657 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have an ERA of 2.82 (214.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
Rays pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .304 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Rays pitchers have walked 186 of 3,119 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Ryan Thompson (Rays): Lat, D15
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15
- Chas McCormick (Astros): Back, D10
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