- The Angels (68-86) are -185 favorites vs the Athletics (56-98)
- Athletics starting pitcher: Adrian Martinez (4-5), 6.10 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen (7-6), 4.77 ERA
- Watch the game on BSW
The Oakland Athletics (+150) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-185) on Wednesday, September 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Athletics vs Angels Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Athletics are 56-98 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 71-83 ATS.
Athletics vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -130 | O 8.5 -115 | +150 |
| Angels | -1.5 +105 | U 8.5 -105 | -185 |
Athletics vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 61.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Sean Murphy has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 34 away games (+9.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Vimael Machin has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 42 games (+8.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- Conner Capel has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games (+8.30 Units / 166% ROI)
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 38 games at home (+28.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 38 games at home (+15.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+14.35 Units / 80% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 37 games (+14.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)
Angels vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Livan Soto | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Mickey Moniak | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Mike Ford | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Angels vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Livan Soto | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Luis Rengifo | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Mickey Moniak | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Mike Ford | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Angels vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Livan Soto | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mickey Moniak | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mike Ford | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Angels vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Lorenzen | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 -105 |
| Adrian Martinez | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games (+12.20 Units / 53% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 75-79 against the Run Line (-17.9 Units / -9.14% ROI).
- 56-98 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.2 Units / -10.08% ROI
- 71-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.1 Units / -8.25% ROI
- 77-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -0.39% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 71-83 against the Run Line (-20.5 Units / -10.71% ROI).
- 68-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -30.1 Units / -15.28% ROI
- 71-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.55 Units / -6.16% ROI
- 74-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.25 Units / -1.93% ROI
Adrian Martinez: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Martinez has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to September 10th — the longest active streak is 6.
Right-handed batters are hitting .383 (18-for-47) against Adrian Martinez this month (4 games) — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .251 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 18% (3/17) against Adrian Martinez against right-handed batters — tied for 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .452 (14-for-31) against Adrian Martinez versus the 2-3-4 hitters this month (4 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .256 — second Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 20% (50/254) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 94th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has a strike rate of just 57% (183/323) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
The average home run distance against Michael Lorenzen this season is 388.1 feet — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 398.0
Michael Lorenzen has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 47% (22/47) of opposing batters this month (3 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Athletics are just 26-52 (.333) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Athletics are just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Athletics are just 54-83 (.394) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Athletics are just 2-77 (.025) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Angels are just 3-12 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 68-74 (.479) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Angels are just 8-54 (.129) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.
The Angels are just 3-67 (.043) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .282 (5,576 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .605 (2,762 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .277 (2,762 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .641 (3,592 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Angels hitters are averaging just 3.77 pitches per plate appearance against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .304 (3,633 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have 1,071 strikeouts in 3,986 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 10% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 12% of innings played this month (23 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Athletics have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 1,107 of 11,950 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels pitchers have walked 118 of 1,367 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,306 of 14,206 batters (9%) since the start of 2020 — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hand, D10
- Jhonathan Diaz (Angels): Undisclosed, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Andrew Velazquez (Angels): Foot, D60
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Adam Oller (Athletics): Rib, D15
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Samuel Moll (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
- Joel Payamps (Athletics): Lumbar, D15
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
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