Athletics vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 28

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 28, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Angels (68-86) are -185 favorites vs the Athletics (56-98)
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Adrian Martinez (4-5), 6.10 ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen (7-6), 4.77 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSW

The Oakland Athletics (+150) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-185) on Wednesday, September 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.

The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Athletics vs Angels Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Athletics are 56-98 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 71-83 ATS.

Athletics vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -130O 8.5 -115+150
Angels -1.5 +105U 8.5 -105-185

Athletics vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 61.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Angels vs Athletics and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Sean Murphy has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 34 away games (+9.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Vimael Machin has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 42 games (+8.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Conner Capel has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games (+8.30 Units / 166% ROI)

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 38 games at home (+28.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 38 games at home (+15.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Mike Trout has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+14.35 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 37 games (+14.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 48% ROI)

Angels vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Livan Soto 0.5 +1000 0.5 -10000
Luis Rengifo 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Matt Duffy 0.5 +1050 0.5
Mickey Moniak 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Mike Ford 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Angels vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Livan Soto 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Luis Rengifo 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Matt Duffy 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Mickey Moniak 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Mike Ford 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Angels vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Livan Soto 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Luis Rengifo 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Matt Duffy 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Mickey Moniak 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Mike Ford 0.5 +160 0.5 -225

Angels vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Lorenzen 4.5 -140 4.5 -105
Adrian Martinez 4.5 -115 4.5 -120
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games (+12.20 Units / 53% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 75-79 against the Run Line (-17.9 Units / -9.14% ROI).

  • 56-98 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.2 Units / -10.08% ROI
  • 71-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.1 Units / -8.25% ROI
  • 77-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -0.39% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 71-83 against the Run Line (-20.5 Units / -10.71% ROI).

  • 68-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -30.1 Units / -15.28% ROI
  • 71-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.55 Units / -6.16% ROI
  • 74-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.25 Units / -1.93% ROI

Adrian Martinez has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to September 10th — the longest active streak is 6.

Right-handed batters are hitting .383 (18-for-47) against Adrian Martinez this month (4 games) — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .251 — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 18% (3/17) against Adrian Martinez against right-handed batters — tied for 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .452 (14-for-31) against Adrian Martinez versus the 2-3-4 hitters this month (4 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .256 — second Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 20% (50/254) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 94th Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has a strike rate of just 57% (183/323) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

The average home run distance against Michael Lorenzen this season is 388.1 feet — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 398.0

Michael Lorenzen has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 47% (22/47) of opposing batters this month (3 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Athletics are just 26-52 (.333) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.

The Athletics are just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Athletics are just 54-83 (.394) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Athletics are just 2-77 (.025) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Angels are just 3-12 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 68-74 (.479) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Angels are just 8-54 (.129) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.

The Angels are just 3-67 (.043) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .282 (5,576 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .605 (2,762 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .277 (2,762 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Angels hitters have an OPS of just .641 (3,592 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Angels hitters are averaging just 3.77 pitches per plate appearance against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .304 (3,633 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Angels hitters have 1,071 strikeouts in 3,986 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 10% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Athletics pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 12% of innings played this month (23 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Athletics have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Angels pitchers have walked 1,107 of 11,950 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Angels pitchers have walked 118 of 1,367 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Angels pitchers have walked 1,306 of 14,206 batters (9%) since the start of 2020 — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Angels vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • David Fletcher (Angels): Hand, D10
  • Jhonathan Diaz (Angels): Undisclosed, D60
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Andrew Velazquez (Angels): Foot, D60
  • Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Adam Oller (Athletics): Rib, D15
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
  • Samuel Moll (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
  • Joel Payamps (Athletics): Lumbar, D15
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.