Athletics vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 30

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 30, 2022, 9:45 AM
  • The Athletics (48-81) are -105 favorites vs the Nationals (43-85)
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Cole Irvin (6-11), 3.16 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde (5-8), 4.88 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN2

The Oakland Athletics (-105) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-115) on Tuesday, August 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Athletics are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Athletics vs Nationals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Athletics are 46-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 53-72 ATS.

Athletics vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics-1.5 +155O 8 -105-105
Nationals +1.5 -190U 8 -115-115

Athletics vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Nationals vs Athletics and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Cole Irvin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Sean Murphy has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 away games (+10.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 67 games (+10.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 19 games (+17.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Joey Meneses has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.65 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+10.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+8.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 57 of their last 105 games (+6.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 65 of their last 115 games (+14.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+6.10 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+0.50 Units / 5% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 62-64 against the Run Line (-15.15 Units / -9.27% ROI).

  • 46-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.25 Units / -12.29% ROI
  • 53-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.3 Units / -15.95% ROI
  • 68-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.85 Units / 7.13% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 53-72 against the Run Line (-26.9 Units / -17.66% ROI).

  • 42-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.3 Units / -15.59% ROI
  • 61-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -1.19% ROI
  • 57-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -6.9% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .244 (20-for-82) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (39/211) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.

Cole Irvin has a strikeout rate of just 17% (98 SO in 564 PAs) this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 22% (176/811) against Cole Irvin this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 16th Percentile.

Erick Fedde: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 53% (811/1,543) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Erick Fedde has walked 26 of 213 right-handed batters (12%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (30/91) against Erick Fedde on low breaking pitches since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 50% — second Percentile.

Erick Fedde has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 55% (423/771) of opposing batters since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Athletics are just 22-44 (.333) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Athletics are just 1-65 (.015) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Athletics are just 4-33 (.108) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.

The Athletics are just 37-10 (.787) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Nationals are just 20-46 (.303) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Nationals are just 108-16 (.871) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Nationals are just 43-72 (.374) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Nationals are just 10-45 (.182) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .275 (3,380 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .586 (2,324 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .314 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .272 (2,324 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 46 double plays in 349 opportunities (13%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 34% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Athletics have won just 15% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 10% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 10% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

The Nationals have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Nationals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .274 against Nationals pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .220.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.24 (1203.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.

Nationals vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Yadiel Hernandez (Nationals): Left Calf, D60
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Skye Bolt (Athletics): Knee, D10
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
  • Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Oblique, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.