- The Athletics (48-81) are -105 favorites vs the Nationals (43-85)
- Athletics starting pitcher: Cole Irvin (6-11), 3.16 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde (5-8), 4.88 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Oakland Athletics (-105) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-115) on Tuesday, August 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Athletics are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Athletics vs Nationals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Athletics are 46-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 53-72 ATS.
Athletics vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -105 | -105 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -115 | -115 |
Athletics vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Cole Irvin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 away games (+10.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 67 games (+10.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 19 games (+17.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.65 Units / 66% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+10.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+8.85 Units / 26% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 57 of their last 105 games (+6.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.10 Units / 14% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 65 of their last 115 games (+14.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+6.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+0.50 Units / 5% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 62-64 against the Run Line (-15.15 Units / -9.27% ROI).
- 46-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.25 Units / -12.29% ROI
- 53-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.3 Units / -15.95% ROI
- 68-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.85 Units / 7.13% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 53-72 against the Run Line (-26.9 Units / -17.66% ROI).
- 42-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.3 Units / -15.59% ROI
- 61-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -1.19% ROI
- 57-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -6.9% ROI
Cole Irvin: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .244 (20-for-82) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (39/211) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.
Cole Irvin has a strikeout rate of just 17% (98 SO in 564 PAs) this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 22% (176/811) against Cole Irvin this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 16th Percentile.
Erick Fedde: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 53% (811/1,543) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Erick Fedde has walked 26 of 213 right-handed batters (12%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (30/91) against Erick Fedde on low breaking pitches since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 50% — second Percentile.
Erick Fedde has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 55% (423/771) of opposing batters since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Athletics are just 22-44 (.333) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Athletics are just 1-65 (.015) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Athletics are just 4-33 (.108) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Athletics are just 37-10 (.787) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Nationals are just 20-46 (.303) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Nationals are just 108-16 (.871) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Nationals are just 43-72 (.374) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Nationals are just 10-45 (.182) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .275 (3,380 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .586 (2,324 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .314 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .272 (2,324 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have grounded into 46 double plays in 349 opportunities (13%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 34% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
The Athletics have won just 15% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 10% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 10% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Nationals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .274 against Nationals pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .220.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.24 (1203.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
Nationals vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Yadiel Hernandez (Nationals): Left Calf, D60
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Skye Bolt (Athletics): Knee, D10
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
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