Athletics vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 28

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Cincinnati Reds' Spencer Steer runs while flying out during the fourth inning of a baseball game against the Houston Astros, Friday, June 16, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/Eric Christian Smith)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 28, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The are + favorites vs the
  • Athletics vs Reds Over / Under today: Runs
  • Athletics / Reds TV Channel: BSOH | NSCA | ESPN+

The Oakland Athletics (+120) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-145) on Wednesday, August 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Athletics are 57-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 73-59 ATS.

Athletics vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Athletics starting pitcher: Osvaldo Bido 5-3, 3.29 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Fernando Cruz 3-8, 5.24 ERA

Athletics vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+ +O ++120
Reds + +U +-145

Athletics vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Athletics will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brent Rooker has hit the Home Runs Over in 16 of his last 49 games (+22.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+15.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Lawrence Butler has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 41 games (+13.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+13.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 18 away games (+13.10 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 23 games (+18.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+17.50 Units / 175% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+15.10 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+14.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 46 games (+13.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 89 games (+12.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+9.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 61 away games (+7.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 51 games at home (+14.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 114 games (+11.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 63 games at home (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+9.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.80 Units / 8% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 70-62 against the Run Line (-4.55 Units / -2.66% ROI).

  • 57-75 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.07% ROI
  • 58-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.75 Units / -14.28% ROI
  • 71-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.7 Units / 4.61% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 73-59 against the Run Line (+7.45 Units / 4.25% ROI).

  • 63-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -5.75% ROI
  • 61-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.3 Units / -7.06% ROI
  • 64-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -2.38% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .143 (11-for-77) against Osvaldo Bido this month (4 games) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 97th Percentile.

Osvaldo Bido has allowed a slugging percentage of just .091 (4 Total Bases / 44 ABs) vs left-handed batters this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .406 — 100th Percentile.

Osvaldo Bido has allowed an OPS of just .275 (50 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .708 — 100th Percentile.

Osvaldo Bido has not allowed a home run in any of the last 23.0 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 78.1.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Fernando Cruz has a strikeout rate of 66% (133 SO in 202 PAs) on low non-fastballs since the 2022 season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (42/121) against Fernando Cruz this season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 42% (175/421) against Fernando Cruz since the 2022 season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.

Fernando Cruz has a strikeout rate of 65% (117 SO in 179 PAs) on low non-fastballs since last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 37% — 100th Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Athletics are 7-1 (.875) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .578.

The Athletics are just 104-153 (.405) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

The Athletics are just 19-33 (.365) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Athletics are just 9-12 (.429) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Reds are just 33-37 (.471) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.

The Reds are just 11-22 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 62-206 (.231) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.

The Reds are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

team hitters – away

Reds hitters are slugging just .146 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

The Reds are batting just .114 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.

The Reds are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.

Reds hitters are slugging just .170 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.50 (1220.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 4.93 (2585.0 IP) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.14 (1907.1 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.

team pitchers – home

Reds vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Cincinnati Reds – No Injuries Reported
  • Oakland Athletics – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.