- The Blue Jays are -120 favorites vs the Astros
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Toronto Blue Jays (-120) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (+100) on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Blue Jays vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 10-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 8-8 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +140 | O 8 -110 | -120 |
| Astros | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -110 | +100 |
Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 68.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.30 Units / 82% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 away games (+8.80 Units / 176% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games (+8.50 Units / 142% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+11.40 Units / 104% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Singles Over in his last 11 games (+11.10 Units / 84% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.55 Units / 31% ROI)
Astros vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Astros vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Astros vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
| Cristian Javier | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.65 Units / 18% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.35 Units / 14% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 8-8 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -9.7% ROI).
- 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 8.65% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 2.31% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -11.7% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 8-8 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -5.11% ROI).
- 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -31.15% ROI
- 11-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.5 Units / 31.07% ROI
- 5-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -7 Units / -40% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has allowed an OBP of just .024 (41 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed an OPS of just .049 (41 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .512 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has a strike rate of 76% (110/145) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .024 (1-for-41) against Kevin Gausman with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .176 — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristian Javier has had second base stolen on him 6 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (30/130) against Cristian Javier on non-fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Cristian Javier has struck out 38% (111/289) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Cristian Javier has a strike rate of 82% (41/50) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Blue Jays are 43-37 (.538) when underdogs since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Blue Jays are 19-17 (.528) when underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
The Blue Jays are 38-23 (.623) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Blue Jays are 74-4 (.949) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Astros are 32-17 (.653) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
The Astros were 31-15 (.674) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Astros are 41-59 (.410) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Astros are 40-29 (.580) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .191 with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .331 (5,339 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .559 (3,527 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .506.
The Blue Jays are batting .265 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 347 strikeouts in 2,034 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 727 strikeouts in 4,115 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 836 strikeouts in 4,619 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 26 strikeouts in 184 PA’s (14%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 102 of 1,597 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 484 of 6,711 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 10 of 142 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
The Astros have allowed 3.30 runs per game (287/87) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.07 (764.0 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.
Astros vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15
- Chas McCormick (Astros): Eye, Day-to-Day
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
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