- The Blue Jays are -110 favorites vs the Brewers
- Blue Jays vs Brewers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Blue Jays / Brewers TV Channel: RSN | BSWI | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays (-110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-110) on Wednesday, June 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Blue Jays are 33-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 36-31 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 6-6, 3.79 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 2-2, 4.20 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +150 | O 9 -115 | -110 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -185 | U 9 -105 | -110 |
Blue Jays vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 48 games (+17.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 45 games (+15.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 12 away games (+14.00 Units / 117% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.10 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+21.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+13.80 Units / 92% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+8.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 24 games (+7.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+7.40 Units / 29% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 66 games (+9.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 62 games (+8.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+4.70 Units / 23% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 67 games (+10.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+9.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 67 games (+9.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+8.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 30-37 against the Run Line (-13.1 Units / -14.92% ROI).
- 33-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -8.27% ROI
- 29-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.8 Units / -16.05% ROI
- 37-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.75 Units / 6.43% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 36-31 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 1.57% ROI).
- 39-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.6 Units / 13.02% ROI
- 37-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.45 Units / 8.75% ROI
- 28-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.55 Units / -17.03% ROI
Brewers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Brewers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Joey Ortiz (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Brewers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Brewers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tobias Myers (MIL) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Chris Bassitt (TOR) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -110 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (10/87) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (16/119) against Chris Bassitt with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.6 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (242 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 80.7
Chris Bassitt has struck out just 16% (24/148) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — seventh Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .042 (1-for-24) against Tobias Myers — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .042 (1-for-24) against Tobias Myers this month (1 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .042 (1-for-24) against Tobias Myers over the past seven days (1 games) — best among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Tobias Myers has a first-pitch strike rate of 75% (36/48) over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Blue Jays are 26-18 (.591) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Blue Jays are 20-12 (.625) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Blue Jays are just 12-77 (.135) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Blue Jays are just 11-20 (.355) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Brewers are 11-16 (.407) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .188.
The Brewers are 30-55 (.353) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Brewers are 44-100 (.306) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Brewers are 21-11 (.656) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .181 against the shift this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Blue Jays hitters have just 616 strikeouts in 3,226 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 370 strikeouts in 1,987 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have a groundball batting average of .291 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Brewers hitters have chased 12% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Brewers hitters have 3 extra-base hits out of 25 total hits (just 12%) against LHP this month (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .341 (1,127 PA’s) at home this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 25% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The average home run distance against the Blue Jays pitchers since last season is 393.5 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Brewers have allowed 3.89 runs per game (459/118) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.51.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 34% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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