- The Blue Jays are -135 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Toronto Blue Jays (-135) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+115) on Saturday, April 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Blue Jays vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 0-0 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +125 | O 8 -120 | -135 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -155 | U 8 +100 | +115 |
Blue Jays vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.60 Units / 180% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Under in his last away game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
Cardinals vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Cardinals vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Cardinals vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
| Jack Flaherty | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 away games (+11.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 86 games (+9.67 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 82 away games (+2.90 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 1 games (+1.25 Units / 125% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games at home (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 84 games at home (+9.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 84 games at home (+7.35 Units / 5% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games at home (+6.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+5.00 Units / 6% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman allowed a BABIP of .363 in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .282 — second Percentile.
Kevin Gausman walked 29 of 749 batters (4%) in 2022 — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 95th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has 98 three-pitch strikeouts since the 2021 season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman had a strike rate of 70% (2,017/2,878) in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (336/1,411) against Jack Flaherty since the 2020 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 29% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (114/414) against Jack Flaherty since the 2020 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has a strike rate of just 60% (880/1,462) vs left-handed batters since the 2020 season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 64% — eighth Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has a strike rate of just 61% (1,672/2,734) since the 2020 season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Blue Jays are 40-35 (.533) when underdogs since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays were 34-21 (.618) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Blue Jays were 16-15 (.516) when underdogs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Blue Jays are 156-37 (.808) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Cardinals are 25-10 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals were 68-4 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2022 — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .882.
The Cardinals are 123-25 (.831) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2021 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Cardinals were 50-30 (.625) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .374 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .664 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
The Blue Jays are batting .261 with two outs since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
The Blue Jays are batting .183 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 260 extra-base hits out of 599 total hits (43%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have 287 extra-base hits out of 671 total hits (43%) against LHP since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .803 (2,611 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers walked 428 of 6,098 batters (7%) in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 901 of 12,014 batters (7%) since the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Blue Jays won 40% of games in which their opponents scored first in 2022 — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Cardinals won 56% of home games in which their opponents scored first in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Thumb, Day-to-Day
- Willson Contreras (Cardinals): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Groin, D15
- Paul DeJong (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Giovanny Gallegos (Cardinals): Back, Day-to-Day
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
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