- The Blue Jays are -115 favorites vs the Padres
- Blue Jays vs Padres Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Padres TV Channel: RSN1 | PDTV
The Toronto Blue Jays (-115) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-105) on Saturday, April 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 11-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 11-11 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +145 | O 8 -120 | -115 |
| Padres | +1.5 -175 | U 8 +100 | -105 |
Blue Jays vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+9.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+9.55 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+9.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.10 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Joe Musgrove has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Eguy Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Eguy Rosario has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Matthew Batten has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+7.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Matthew Batten has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.95 Units / 47% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 74 of their last 138 games (+14.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 11-9 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 1.07% ROI).
- 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 4.18% ROI
- 9-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -14.55% ROI
- 11-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 4.08% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 11-11 against the Run Line (+1.57 Units / 6.02% ROI).
- 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.21 Units / -0.79% ROI
- 11-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.22 Units / 0.9% ROI
- 10-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -7.86% ROI
Padres vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Padres vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Padres vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Padres vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (25/72) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of just .065 (2 Total Bases / 31 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .065 (2-for-31) against Jose Berrios this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 98th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (98/240) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Randy Vasquez has limited playing time.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Blue Jays are just 9-63 (.125) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .216.
The Blue Jays are 21-10 (.677) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 21-15 (.583) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Blue Jays are 168-38 (.816) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Padres are just 4-16 (.200) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Padres are just 1-75 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Padres are just 16-31 (.340) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Padres are just 11-38 (.224) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 541 strikeouts in 2,803 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .344 (1,564 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Blue Jays hitters have just 295 strikeouts in 1,564 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have drawn 27 walks in 183 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Padres are batting .472 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Padres hitters have an OPS of .802 (1,882 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
The Padres are just 4-16 (.200) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers have 328 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 2nd most in MLB.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres pitchers have an ERA of 3.77 (1637.1 IP) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
The Padres have allowed 3.94 runs per game (366/93) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.63.
Padres vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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