- The Blue Jays (77-60) are -200 favorites vs the Rangers (59-78)
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman (11-9), 3.12 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Kohei Arihara (1-2), 5.29 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Toronto Blue Jays (-200) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+165) on Saturday, September 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Blue Jays vs Rangers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 74-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 73-60 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 -120 | O 8 -115 | -200 |
| Rangers | +1.5 +100 | U 8 -105 | +165 |
Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 51 of his last 92 games (+9.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- Alek Manoah has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 49 away games (+7.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- Kevin Gausman has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+6.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.65 Units / 111% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 60 of his last 97 games (+21.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 23 of his last 26 games (+21.50 Units / 69% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 41 games at home (+17.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+15.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 46 games (+15.05 Units / 17% ROI)
Rangers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Marcus Semien | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Marcus Semien | 0.5 -300 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Sam Huff | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -115 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Marcus Semien | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Sam Huff | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +105 |
| Kohei Arihara | 2.5 -105 | 2.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – away
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – home
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 57-76 against the Run Line (-23.9 Units / -15% ROI).
- 74-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.15 Units / -9.36% ROI
- 67-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -1.68% ROI
- 63-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.35 Units / -7.7% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 73-60 against the Run Line (+6.65 Units / 3.86% ROI).
- 56-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.2 Units / -12.62% ROI
- 65-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 1.19% ROI
- 58-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.85 Units / -8.79% ROI
Kevin Gausman: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has allowed a BABIP of .414 against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 40% (471/1,192) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 43% (210/493) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has 112 three-pitch strikeouts since the start of 2020 — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Kohei Arihara: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kohei Arihara has limited playing time.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Blue Jays are 13-11 (.542) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 39-31 (.557) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Blue Jays are 65-16 (.802) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Blue Jays are 58-2 (.967) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .884.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rangers are just 47-9 (.839) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Rangers are just 28-39 (.418) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Rangers are just 25-144 (.148) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Rangers are just 10-35 (.222) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .659 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .570.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .452 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .447 against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .787 (2,592 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .302 (3,333 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters have drawn 237 walks in 3,333 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .647 (3,683 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Rangers hitters are averaging just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 2 of 118 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 356 of 5,116 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 14 of 283 batters (5%) this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 118 of 1,220 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 496 of 5,229 batters (10%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 57 of 484 batters (12%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Right Elbow, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hip, D10
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Blue Jays): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
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