Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 10

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 10, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Blue Jays (77-60) are -200 favorites vs the Rangers (59-78)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman (11-9), 3.12 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Kohei Arihara (1-2), 5.29 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSW

The Toronto Blue Jays (-200) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+165) on Saturday, September 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Blue Jays vs Rangers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 74-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 73-60 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 -120O 8 -115-200
Rangers +1.5 +100U 8 -105+165

Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rangers vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 51 of his last 92 games (+9.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Alek Manoah has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 49 away games (+7.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Kevin Gausman has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+6.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.65 Units / 111% ROI)

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 60 of his last 97 games (+21.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 23 of his last 26 games (+21.50 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 41 games at home (+17.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+15.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 46 games (+15.05 Units / 17% ROI)

Rangers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Corey Seager 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
Jonah Heim 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Marcus Semien 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Nate Lowe 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Rangers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Corey Seager 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Marcus Semien 0.5 -300 0.5 +195
Nate Lowe 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Sam Huff 0.5 -125 0.5 -115

Rangers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Corey Seager 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Marcus Semien 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Nate Lowe 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Sam Huff 0.5 +225 0.5 -350

Rangers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gausman 5.5 -150 5.5 +105
Kohei Arihara 2.5 -105 2.5 -135
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 57-76 against the Run Line (-23.9 Units / -15% ROI).

  • 74-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.15 Units / -9.36% ROI
  • 67-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -1.68% ROI
  • 63-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.35 Units / -7.7% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 73-60 against the Run Line (+6.65 Units / 3.86% ROI).

  • 56-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.2 Units / -12.62% ROI
  • 65-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 1.19% ROI
  • 58-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.85 Units / -8.79% ROI

Kevin Gausman has allowed a BABIP of .414 against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 40% (471/1,192) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 43% (210/493) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has 112 three-pitch strikeouts since the start of 2020 — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Kohei Arihara: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kohei Arihara has limited playing time.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Blue Jays are 13-11 (.542) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Blue Jays are 39-31 (.557) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Blue Jays are 65-16 (.802) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Blue Jays are 58-2 (.967) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .884.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Rangers are just 47-9 (.839) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Rangers are just 28-39 (.418) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Rangers are just 25-144 (.148) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

The Rangers are just 10-35 (.222) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .659 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .570.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .452 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .447 against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .787 (2,592 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .302 (3,333 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters have drawn 237 walks in 3,333 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .647 (3,683 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.

Rangers hitters are averaging just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 2 of 118 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 356 of 5,116 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 14 of 283 batters (5%) this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 118 of 1,220 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 496 of 5,229 batters (10%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 57 of 484 batters (12%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Right Elbow, D60
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hip, D10
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Blue Jays): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.