- The Rangers are -145 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Rangers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Rangers TV Channel: RSN | BSSW
The Toronto Blue Jays (+115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-135) on Tuesday, September 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Blue Jays are 72-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 66-84 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 10-13, 4.22 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 11-8, 3.69 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -105 | +115 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -115 | -135 |
Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Addison Barger has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 21 games (+19.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 49 games (+11.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 49 games (+9.55 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+22.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+19.50 Units / 279% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nathan Eovaldi has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.85 Units / 34% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 54 away games (+16.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 9 games (+9.90 Units / 110% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games (+18.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 71 games at home (+16.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 70 games at home (+10.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 51 games at home (+5.45 Units / 9% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 74-76 against the Run Line (-14.4 Units / -7.14% ROI).
- 72-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.9 Units / -7.06% ROI
- 77-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.18 Units / 1.33% ROI
- 68-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.1 Units / -10.41% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 66-84 against the Run Line (-31.05 Units / -15.65% ROI).
- 71-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.9 Units / -10% ROI
- 68-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.25 Units / -8.1% ROI
- 74-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.88 Units / -0.54% ROI
Rangers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Spencer Horwitz (TOR) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Will Wagner (TOR) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Will Wagner (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Spencer Horwitz (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Horwitz (TOR) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Will Wagner (TOR) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (33/210) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 77% (13/17) against Chris Bassitt in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an OPS of 1.357 (26 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .692 — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has averaged 70.9 MPH on curveballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 79.6 — first Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OPS of just .436 (157 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .676 — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has a strikeout rate of 37% (38 SO in 102 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 93rd Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed a slugging percentage of just .250 (20 Total Bases / 80 ABs) on fastballs away this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .367 — 92nd Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has an average spin rate of 1948.4 RPM on curveballs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 2532.4 — third Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Blue Jays are 27-15 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 40-34 (.541) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are just 16-37 (.302) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Blue Jays are just 16-68 (.190) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rangers are just 12-191 (.059) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Rangers are just 32-121 (.209) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Rangers are just 5-210 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers are just 19-26 (.422) after a road loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .353 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .656 (1,310 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,956 strikeouts in 10,270 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting just .228 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have put just 27% of their swings in play against LHP this month (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Rangers are batting just .301 in hitter’s counts this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,343/17,925 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .949 (1,010 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.075.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the past seven days (5 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.34 (637.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.22.
The Rangers have allowed 5.39 runs per game (404/75) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% against Rangers pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 7.48 (49.1 IP) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.80.
Rangers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Texas Rangers – No Injuries Reported
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
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