- The Blue Jays are -110 favorites vs the Rangers
- Blue Jays vs Rangers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Rangers TV Channel: RSN | BSSW | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+100) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-120) on Thursday, September 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Blue Jays are 72-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 68-84 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 12-11, 4.04 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Kumar Rocker 0-0, 2.25 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -210 | O 7.5 -115 | +100 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +170 | U 7.5 -105 | -120 |
Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Addison Barger has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 22 games (+18.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+12.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 46 games (+10.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+10.30 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 26 games (+18.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+17.50 Units / 194% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+7.90 Units / 14% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 25 games (+27.50 Units / 110% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 25 games (+25.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 56 away games (+12.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.50 Units / 26% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games (+17.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 73 games at home (+16.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 72 games at home (+10.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+9.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+8.65 Units / 79% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 74-78 against the Run Line (-18.35 Units / -8.93% ROI).
- 72-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -8.11% ROI
- 78-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.13 Units / 1.29% ROI
- 69-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.2 Units / -10.33% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 68-84 against the Run Line (-27.65 Units / -13.8% ROI).
- 73-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.9 Units / -8.83% ROI
- 69-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.3 Units / -8.02% ROI
- 75-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.98 Units / -0.59% ROI
Rangers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Spencer Horwitz (TOR) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +130 |
| Kumar Rocker (TEX) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .529 (9-for-17) against Kevin Gausman when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .217 — first Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 53% (603/1,135) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has an ERA of 6.27 (51.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.57 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 66% (297/449) against Kevin Gausman on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kumar Rocker has limited playing time.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Blue Jays are 40-34 (.541) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are just 16-37 (.302) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Blue Jays are 27-15 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 20-76 (.208) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rangers are just 5-210 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers are just 8-55 (.127) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Rangers are just 19-177 (.097) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Rangers are just 12-191 (.059) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .383 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Blue Jays are batting just .227 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .651 (1,336 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,962 strikeouts in 10,308 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting just .304 in hitter’s counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Rangers hitters have 90 extra-base hits out of 303 total hits (just 30%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Rangers hitters have put just 27% of their swings in play against LHP this month (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .360 on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this month (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The average home run distance against the Blue Jays pitchers in the 2023 season was 394.5 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.2
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% against Rangers pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 81 of 1,341 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.34 (637.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.22.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Texas Rangers – No Injuries Reported
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
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