Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 25

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 25, 2022, 6:19 PM
  • The Blue Jays (67-55) are -185 favorites vs the Red Sox (60-64)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman (9-9), 2.99 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford (3-5), 5.13 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Toronto Blue Jays (-185) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+150) on Thursday, August 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 65-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 61-60 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 -110O 9 -110-185
Red Sox +1.5 -110U 9 -110+150

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Thursday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 52 away games (+14.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 52 away games (+13.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 46 of his last 78 games (+12.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 45% ROI)

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+15.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 39 games (+13.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 56 games (+12.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Enrique Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+10.20 Units / 127% ROI)

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Arroyo 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
J.D. Martinez 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Jarren Duran 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Rafael Devers 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Reese Mcguire 0.5 +1050 0.5

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Arroyo 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
J.D. Martinez 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Jarren Duran 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Reese Mcguire 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Tommy Pham 0.5 -275 0.5 +185

Red Sox vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christian Arroyo 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
J.D. Martinez 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Jarren Duran 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Rafael Devers 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
Reese Mcguire 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kutter Crawford 4.5 -105 4.5 -135
Gausman 6.5 +115 6.5 -160
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 50 of their last 80 games (+21.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 56 of their last 104 games (+6.15 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+6.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 51-68 against the Run Line (-21.5 Units / -14.95% ROI).

  • 65-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.8 Units / -10.39% ROI
  • 60-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -4 Units / -3.07% ROI
  • 58-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.95 Units / -6.78% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 61-60 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -0.43% ROI).

  • 58-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.65 Units / -7.82% ROI
  • 53-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.05 Units / -7.54% ROI
  • 58-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.26% ROI

Opponents have a chase percentage of 41% (425/1,050) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (60/195) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has 88 three-pitch strikeouts since the start of last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has thrown his fastball for a strike 79% (800/1,013) of the time this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 68% — 100th Percentile.

Kutter Crawford: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of .568 (46 Total Bases / 81 ABs) this month (4 games) — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .370 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (41/135) against Kutter Crawford on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (58/197) against Kutter Crawford this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .309 (25-for-81) against Kutter Crawford this month (4 games) — tied for 11th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 12th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Blue Jays are 57-3 (.950) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Blue Jays are 36-25 (.590) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Blue Jays are 52-2 (.963) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .887.

The Blue Jays are just 2-45 (.043) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Red Sox are just 6-26 (.188) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.

The Red Sox are just 2-49 (.039) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.

The Red Sox are just 5-10 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 3-47 (.060) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .113.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .659 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .569.

The Blue Jays are batting .263 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Blue Jays hitters have just 162 strikeouts in 883 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters have just 2,163 strikeouts in 10,675 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Red Sox hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The Red Sox are batting .273 at home since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Red Sox hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 54% against LHP over the last 14 days (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

The Red Sox are batting .272 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 797 of 10,461 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Blue Jays have allowed 1.05 runs per game (128/122) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 3 of 107 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 4.65 (557.0 IP) at home this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.86 (110.2 IP) on the road this month (13 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed 258 barreled balls this season — tied for 4th most in MLB.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Finger, D60
  • Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Back, D15
  • Eric Hosmer (Red Sox): Back, D10
  • Trevor Story (Red Sox): Hand, D10
  • Tyler Danish (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.