- The Blue Jays (52-43) are -165 favorites vs the Red Sox (48-47)
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling (5-3), 3.02 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello (0-1), 10.12 ERA
- Watch the game on NESN
The Toronto Blue Jays (-165) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+135) on Sunday, July 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 52-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 50-45 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 -110 | O 10.5 -105 | -165 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -110 | U 10.5 -115 | +135 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 53.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+14.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 38 away games (+12.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 38 away games (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 37 away games (+11.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.60 Units / 20% ROI)
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bobby Dalbec has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+12.20 Units / 94% ROI)
- Franchy Cordero has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+8.65 Units / 74% ROI)
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Bobby Dalbec | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
| Bobby Dalbec | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jarren Duran | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -250 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bobby Dalbec | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brayan Bello | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +105 |
| Ross Stripling | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 53 games (+21.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 54 games (+16.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.10 Units / 20% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 75 games (+9.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 66 games (+8.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 66 games (+7.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 61 games (+7.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 41-54 against the Run Line (-17.35 Units / -14.93% ROI).
- 52-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.35 Units / -9.11% ROI
- 50-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.4 Units / 1.35% ROI
- 44-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -12 Units / -11.35% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 50-45 against the Run Line (+4.95 Units / 4.16% ROI).
- 48-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -4.06% ROI
- 42-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -5.12% ROI
- 44-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -1.57% ROI
Thomas Stripling: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ross Stripling has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.3 MPH on inside pitches since the start of last season (137 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 85.4
Opponents are hitting just .145 (24-for-165) against Ross Stripling’s changeup since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: .237 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (82/425) against Ross Stripling on breaking pitches since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.
Ross Stripling has pitched 9.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Ryne Stanek has the longest active streak at 27.1.
Brayan Bello: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brayan Bello has limited playing time.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays are 30-19 (.612) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Blue Jays are 40-1 (.976) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Blue Jays are 43-2 (.956) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Blue Jays are just 2-34 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox are just 6-19 (.240) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.
The Red Sox are just 1-37 (.026) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Red Sox are 22-10 (.688) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are just 133-19 (.875) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .673 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Blue Jays are batting .274 at home since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Blue Jays are batting .266 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
The Blue Jays are batting .370 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 3 strikeouts in 6 PA’s (50%) against LHP over the past seven days (2 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Red Sox are batting .276 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox are batting .265 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .336 (930 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 9 of 314 batters (3%) over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (9 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% over the past seven days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 8.01 (82.0 IP) at home this month (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 6.91 (168.0 IP) this month (19 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 8.69 (86.0 IP) over the last 14 days (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 14.88 (26.0 IP) over the past seven days (3 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Julio Martinez (Red Sox): Back, Day-to-Day
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Finger, D15
- Richard Hill (Red Sox): Knee, D15
- Rafael Devers (Red Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Connor Seabold (Red Sox): Forearm, D15
- Michael Wacha (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D60
- Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Strahm (Red Sox): Wrist, D15
- Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): Groin, D10
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Hand, D10
- Tyler Danish (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Joshua Winckowski (Red Sox): COVID-19, D10
- Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Yusei Kikuchi (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
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