Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 24

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 24, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Blue Jays (52-43) are -165 favorites vs the Red Sox (48-47)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling (5-3), 3.02 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello (0-1), 10.12 ERA
  • Watch the game on NESN

The Toronto Blue Jays (-165) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+135) on Sunday, July 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 52-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 50-45 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 -110O 10.5 -105-165
Red Sox +1.5 -110U 10.5 -115+135

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 53.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+14.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 38 away games (+12.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 38 away games (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 37 away games (+11.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.60 Units / 20% ROI)

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bobby Dalbec has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+12.20 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Franchy Cordero has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Trevor Story has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+8.65 Units / 74% ROI)

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Bobby Dalbec 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Christian Vazquez 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Franchy Cordero 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 1.5 +160 1.5 -225
Bobby Dalbec 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Franchy Cordero 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Jarren Duran 1.5 +160 1.5 -250

Red Sox vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Bobby Dalbec 0.5 +130 0.5 -185
Christian Vazquez 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Franchy Cordero 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.5 +180 0.5 -275

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brayan Bello 3.5 -150 3.5 +105
Ross Stripling 3.5 -160 3.5 +110
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 53 games (+21.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 54 games (+16.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 75 games (+9.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 66 games (+8.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 66 games (+7.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 61 games (+7.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 41-54 against the Run Line (-17.35 Units / -14.93% ROI).

  • 52-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.35 Units / -9.11% ROI
  • 50-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.4 Units / 1.35% ROI
  • 44-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -12 Units / -11.35% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 50-45 against the Run Line (+4.95 Units / 4.16% ROI).

  • 48-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -4.06% ROI
  • 42-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -5.12% ROI
  • 44-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -1.57% ROI

Ross Stripling has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.3 MPH on inside pitches since the start of last season (137 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 85.4

Opponents are hitting just .145 (24-for-165) against Ross Stripling’s changeup since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: .237 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (82/425) against Ross Stripling on breaking pitches since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.

Ross Stripling has pitched 9.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Ryne Stanek has the longest active streak at 27.1.

Brayan Bello: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brayan Bello has limited playing time.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Blue Jays are 30-19 (.612) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Blue Jays are 40-1 (.976) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Blue Jays are 43-2 (.956) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Blue Jays are just 2-34 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Red Sox are just 6-19 (.240) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.

The Red Sox are just 1-37 (.026) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Red Sox are 22-10 (.688) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 133-19 (.875) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .673 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

The Blue Jays are batting .274 at home since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Blue Jays are batting .266 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

The Blue Jays are batting .370 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.

Red Sox hitters have 3 strikeouts in 6 PA’s (50%) against LHP over the past seven days (2 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Red Sox are batting .276 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Red Sox are batting .265 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .336 (930 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 9 of 314 batters (3%) over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (9 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% over the past seven days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 8.01 (82.0 IP) at home this month (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 6.91 (168.0 IP) this month (19 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 8.69 (86.0 IP) over the last 14 days (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 14.88 (26.0 IP) over the past seven days (3 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Julio Martinez (Red Sox): Back, Day-to-Day
  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Finger, D15
  • Richard Hill (Red Sox): Knee, D15
  • Rafael Devers (Red Sox): Hamstring, D10
  • Connor Seabold (Red Sox): Forearm, D15
  • Michael Wacha (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D60
  • Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D60
  • Matthew Strahm (Red Sox): Wrist, D15
  • Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): Groin, D10
  • Trevor Story (Red Sox): Hand, D10
  • Tyler Danish (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Joshua Winckowski (Red Sox): COVID-19, D10
  • Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Yusei Kikuchi (Blue Jays): Neck, D15
  • Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.