- The Blue Jays are -185 favorites vs the Royals
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah
- Royals starting pitcher: Donald Greinke
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Toronto Blue Jays (-185) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+155) on Wednesday, April 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Blue Jays vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 1-4 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 -110 | O 8.5 -115 | -185 |
| Royals | +1.5 -110 | U 8.5 -105 | +155 |
Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 74.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.60 Units / 180% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Under in his last away game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.70 Units / 190% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Drew Waters has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Royals vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Royals vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Royals vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Royals vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Manoah | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Zack Greinke | 3.5 +135 | 3.5 -175 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 44 of their last 82 away games (+2.65 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 86 away games (+2.35 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 86 away games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 86 away games (+0.20 Units / 0% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 81 of their last 150 games (+9.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 85 games at home (+1.25 Units / 1% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 1-4 against the Run Line (-3.9 Units / -64.46% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -26.36% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 14.68% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -25.89% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 1-4 against the Run Line (-3.85 Units / -61.11% ROI).
- 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -57% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -25.44% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 16.04% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alek Manoah allowed a slugging percentage of just .249 (80 Total Bases / 321 ABs) against right-handed batters in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted just .159 (51-for-321) against Alek Manoah in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed an OPS of just .487 (582 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .715 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .247 (24-for-97) against Alek Manoah on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .340 — 97th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (125/374) against Zack Greinke on fastballs since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Zack Greinke had a strikeout rate of just 26% (73/281) with two-strikes in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (54/157) against Zack Greinke on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Zack Greinke struck out just 9% (21/241) of left-handed batters he faced in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Blue Jays were 34-21 (.618) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Blue Jays are 16-15 (.516) when underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Blue Jays are 40-35 (.533) when underdogs since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays were 16-15 (.516) when underdogs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Royals were just 4-41 (.089) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Royals are just 4-42 (.087) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Royals are just 26-55 (.321) on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Royals were just 26-55 (.321) on the road in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .467.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .260 with two outs since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
The Blue Jays are batting .252 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .342 (117 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Blue Jays are batting .374 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 654 strikeouts in 3,298 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .392 (51 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Royals hitters are slugging just .366 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.
The Royals are batting just .170 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers are throwing just 3.59 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Blue Jays pitchers walked 92 of 1,455 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 94 of 1,497 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers walked 126 of 1,420 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Royals pitchers have walked 128 of 1,465 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Royals vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
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