- The Blue Jays are -225 favorites vs the Royals
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
- Royals starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Toronto Blue Jays (-225) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+180) on Thursday, April 6, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).
The Blue Jays vs Royals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 3-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 1-5 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 -130 | O 8 +100 | -225 |
| Royals | +1.5 +110 | U 8 -120 | +180 |
Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 62.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.60 Units / 180% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Under in his last away game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.70 Units / 190% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Drew Waters has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Royals vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Cavan Biggio | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Royals vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 1.5 +125 | 1.5 -160 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Cavan Biggio | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Royals vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Cavan Biggio | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Royals vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
| Jordan Lyles | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 87 of their last 161 games (+5.45 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 87 away games (+1.20 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 87 away games (+1.10 Units / 1% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 44 of their last 82 games at home (+3.30 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 86 games at home (+1.25 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 87 games at home (+1.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 2-4 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -40% ROI).
- 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -8.38% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -3.85% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -6.67% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 1-5 against the Run Line (-4.85 Units / -66.44% ROI).
- 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -64.17% ROI
- 2-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -37.04% ROI
- 4-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 28.68% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of 39% (585/1,488) against Kevin Gausman since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman allowed a BABIP of .363 in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .282 — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 42% (249/597) against Kevin Gausman since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has 123 three-pitch strikeouts since the 2020 season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Lyles allowed a slugging percentage of .417 (151 Total Bases / 362 ABs) with two-strikes in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — second Percentile.
Opponents batted .243 (88-for-362) against Jordan Lyles with two-strikes in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .156 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 16% (3/19) against Jordan Lyles this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Jordan Lyles allowed 15 home runs with two-strikes in 2022 — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Blue Jays are 40-35 (.533) when underdogs since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays were 16-15 (.516) when underdogs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Blue Jays are 16-15 (.516) when underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Blue Jays are 152-10 (.938) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .910.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Royals were just 4-41 (.089) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Royals are just 4-42 (.087) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Royals are just 3-80 (.036) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Royals were just 26-55 (.321) on the road in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .467.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .660 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
The Blue Jays are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .344 (131 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Blue Jays are batting .260 with two outs since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals are batting just .155 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Royals hitters are slugging just .362 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .445.
The Royals won only 32% of their road games in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .359 (61 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 446 of 6,321 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers walked 92 of 1,455 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Blue Jays pitchers walked 428 of 6,098 batters (7%) in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 919 of 12,237 batters (7%) since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
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