Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 22

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 22, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The are favorites vs the
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
  • Watch the game on YES

The Toronto Blue Jays () visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees () on Saturday, April 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx.

The are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().

The Blue Jays vs Yankees Over/Under is total runs for the game.

This season, the Blue Jays are 12-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 11-9 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays O
Yankees U

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • George Springer has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+12.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 14 away games (+8.55 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.30 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+8.10 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+8.15 Units / 102% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+7.30 Units / 43% ROI)

Yankees vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Trevino 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Anthony Volpe 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
George Springer 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Oswald Peraza 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000

Yankees vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Trevino 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Anthony Volpe 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -110 0.5 -120
George Springer 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Oswald Peraza 0.5 -115 0.5 -115

Yankees vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Trevino 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Anthony Volpe 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +260 0.5 -375
George Springer 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Oswald Peraza 0.5 +320 0.5 -450

Yankees vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gerrit Cole 7.5 -105 7.5 -125
Alek Manoah 5.5 -120 5.5 -110
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+4.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+3.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 9 games (+2.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 20 games (+5.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+4.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 45% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 10-10 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / -5.88% ROI).

  • 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 6.66% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -3.25% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -5.33% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 11-9 against the Run Line (+5.15 Units / 24.88% ROI).

  • 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 2.57% ROI
  • 7-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.4 Units / -33.48% ROI
  • 13-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.3 Units / 24.15% ROI

starting pitcher – away

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .119 (5 Total Bases / 42 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .398 — 98th Percentile.

51% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (394/1,058) against Gerrit Cole in non-two strike counts since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (106/273) against Gerrit Cole on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

keys to the game – away

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Yankees are 20-29 (.408) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .197.

The Yankees are 12-46 (.207) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .120.

The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.

The Yankees are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .037.

team hitters – away

Yankees hitters have drawn 28 walks in 177 PA’s (16%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 190 walks in 1,726 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters are slugging .685 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.112 (131 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 492 of 6,851 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 102 of 1,631 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have not walked any of the 52 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 10 of 176 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
  • Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
  • Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D15
  • Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
  • Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
  • Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
  • Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
  • Harrison Bader (Yankees): Oblique, D10
  • Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D15
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
  • Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Wrist/Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
  • Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.