Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 18

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 18, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Yankees (73-45) are -150 favorites vs the Blue Jays (62-54)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos (8-5), 5.60 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Francelis Montas (4-9), 3.59 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Toronto Blue Jays (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-150) on Thursday, August 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Blue Jays vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 62-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 52-66 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -160O 8.5 -105+125
Yankees -1.5 +135U 8.5 -115-150

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 46 away games (+18.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 46 away games (+14.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 42 of his last 72 games (+10.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Bradley Zimmer has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 43 of his last 60 games at home (+15.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 34 games at home (+13.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+13.20 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+13.20 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.65 Units / 35% ROI)

Yankees vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
DJ LeMahieu 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Gleyber Torres 0.5 +450 0.5 -900

Yankees vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
DJ LeMahieu 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Gleyber Torres 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Josh Donaldson 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -275 0.5 +180

Yankees vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge 0.5 -105 0.5 -135
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
DJ LeMahieu 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Gleyber Torres 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Yankees vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Berrios 4.5 -125 4.5 -115
Frankie Montas 5.5 +115 5.5 -160
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 74 games (+21.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 75 games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 12 away games (+0.85 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+7.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 108 games (+2.85 Units / 1% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 49-67 against the Run Line (-22.6 Units / -16.19% ROI).

  • 62-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.8 Units / -12.14% ROI
  • 59-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -2.28% ROI
  • 56-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.85 Units / -7.66% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 52-66 against the Run Line (-15.95 Units / -11.67% ROI).

  • 73-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -0.25% ROI
  • 56-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.05 Units / -5.41% ROI
  • 57-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -3.5% ROI

Jose Berrios has an ERA of 7.50 (54.0 IP) on the road this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.72 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (29/162) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.

Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .492 (241 Total Bases / 490 ABs) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (35/94) against Jose Berrios when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Francelis Montas: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Frankie Montas has thrown fastballs 68% of the time (603/888) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 53% — 94th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 30% (45/152) against Frankie Montas this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 31% (148/471) against Frankie Montas this season — 15th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 87th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 29% (450/1,566) against Frankie Montas in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Blue Jays are 48-2 (.960) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Blue Jays are just 9-11 (.450) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Blue Jays are 53-3 (.946) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .911.

The Blue Jays are 36-25 (.590) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Yankees are 9-28 (.243) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Yankees are 31-28 (.525) on the road this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Yankees are 44-11 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

The Yankees are 42-17 (.712) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .660 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.

Blue Jays hitters have 5 extra-base hits out of 8 total hits (62%) against LHP this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

The Blue Jays are batting .259 on the road since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Yankees have scored 1.81 runs per game (213/118) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.40.

Yankees hitters are slugging .465 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .755 (3,288 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 310 of 4,323 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 783 of 10,239 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 37% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees pitchers have walked 162 of 2,505 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees pitchers have won 53% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Achilles, D10
  • Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D10
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Clayton Holmes (Yankees): Back, D15
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
  • Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.