- The Braves are -130 favorites vs the Brewers
- Braves vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Braves / Brewers TV Channel: BSSO | BSWI
The Atlanta Braves (-115) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-105) on Wednesday, July 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Braves are 57-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 56-51 ATS.
Braves vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 13-3, 2.70 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 6-6, 3.96 ERA
Braves vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +155 | O 7 +105 | -115 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -190 | U 7 -125 | -105 |
Braves vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 37 games (+17.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 38 games (+17.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 48 games (+15.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+15.00 Units / 167% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 37 games (+14.10 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 22 games at home (+25.50 Units / 116% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+14.05 Units / 62% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+14.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+13.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.05 Units / 59% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 60 of their last 92 games (+28.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 51 away games (+9.14 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 44 away games (+6.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 away games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.90 Units / 18% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+12.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+10.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 107 games (+9.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 107 games (+8.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+7.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 47-59 against the Run Line (-14.2 Units / -11.27% ROI).
- 57-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.75 Units / -9.76% ROI
- 38-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.7 Units / -26.49% ROI
- 63-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.05 Units / 17.92% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 56-51 against the Run Line (+2.2 Units / 1.56% ROI).
- 61-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.6 Units / 6.29% ROI
- 57-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.25 Units / 7.92% ROI
- 44-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.95 Units / -15.98% ROI
Brewers vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Brewers vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Whit Merrifield (ATL) | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Brewers vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Brewers vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -115 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
21 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.8 MPH on the 177 breaking pitches put in play against him since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 87.7.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 45% (31 SO in 69 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 34% (59 SO in 171 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .203 (84-for-414) against Freddy Peralta when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 58% (400/686) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has struck out 30% (74/250) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has allowed a slugging percentage of just .256 (43 Total Bases / 168 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .375 — 98th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Braves are just 7-15 (.318) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Braves are just 3-8 (.273) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .429.
The Braves are 29-52 (.358) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Braves are 18-90 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Brewers are 42-3 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Brewers are 38-18 (.679) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Brewers are 32-70 (.314) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Brewers are 59-17 (.776) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .484 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Braves hitters are slugging .468 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .371 (1,249 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .329.
Braves hitters are slugging .684 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
10% of Brewers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,572/16,301 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.02 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Brewers hitters have 35 extra-base hits out of 126 total hits (just 28%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters have chased 12% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (2,489 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.28 (784.2 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.71 (1189.2 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Brewers vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- DL Hall (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Joe Ross (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Greg Allen (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Triceps, 60-Day IL
- Abner Uribe (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Christian Yelich (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Oliver Dunn (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Herget (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Harris (Atlanta Braves): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Fried (Atlanta Braves): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Luplow (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Austin Riley (Atlanta Braves): Personal, Paternity
- Ray Kerr (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Ronald Acuna (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
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